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Introduction

QuantForexTrading is the only quantitative analytical tool to analyze all news releases over the last week and make predictions regarding likely market movement over different price ranges. The tool does this by averaging large number of price predictions for different news releases for different forex pairs. The price predictions are made by looking at the forecasted, actual and previous reported value for an economic news release and considers the price movement since the news item was released.

Using advanced machine learning it is possible to predict whether a forex pair is underbought or oversold based on historic market reaction for a given news release over a given time period. Section Strategy Formulation gives a suggestion on how to build a profitable trading strategy around fundamental forex news predictions made by QuantForexTrading.


Averaging Price Predictions

As there are multiple news releases that effect a pair over any given time span, the tool will create a weighted average of each price prediction for all such news releases. Each price prediction is weighted by the probability of the price prediction and the historical accuracy of the model that made the price prediction.


Figure 1: Average Price Barrier

The above diagram shows the AUD_USD have an average price barrier of 94 pips (shown in blue box), meaning the AUD_USD pair is more likely to hit the top 94 pip barrier before the bottom 94 pip barrier.


Understanding News Heatmap

The news heatmap is designed to show price predictions over daily time ranges. This allows you to see probable price movements over different price ranges and different time frames. The news heatmap is constructed over a seven day time range, where the news release predictions are ordered top to bottom, so the most recent news release predictions are shown a the top of the heatmap. Consider the news heatmap for forex pair AUD_USD shown below in the blue box.

Figure 2: News Heatmap

We see over the shorter time range that the news released indicates a negative (red) market movement. However we see over the longer time frames the news released indicates a positive (green) market movement. Such scenarios indicate a conflicting set of news releases and we may wish to disregard such cases long term. Or if you were only trading on shorter time frames you would pay more attention to the most recent news releases. In this cases you would be biased towards selling on the shorter time frames and buying on the longer time frames for the AUD_USD pair.


Understanding Technical Heatmap

The technical heatmap is designed to show from a technical perspective when a pair is overbought or undersold. It does this by looking at the movement of a pair and comparing to historical movement over a given time frame. If the pair experiences a large positive movement when compared to the historical average over some time frame, then pair is considered overbought and therefore should be sold. Likewise if the pair experiences a large negative movement when compared to the historical average ove some time frame, the the pair is considered oversold and therfore should be bought.
Figure 3: Technical Heatmap

The above diagram shows the technical analysis for the AUD_USD in the blue box. We see for the AUD_USD that the pair is overbought on the shorter time frames (so sell) and oversold on the longer time frames (so buy). In this case, the technical analysis matches the fundamental news analysis for different time frames. If you were an intraday trader, you would be biased towards selling. If you wish to take a position over a longer time frame you would be biased towards buying.


Understanding Forex Pair Correlation

Currency pairs are highly correlated with one another meaning that certain currency pairs tend to move in the same direction (positive correlation) or they tend to move in opposite directions (negative correlation). To better understand currency pair correlation look at a currency pair correlation chart. QuantForexTrading uses currency correlation for fundamental news analysis and technical analysis by creating a weighted average of all currency pairs associated with the pair displayed. The weighted correlation analysis can be found in the Correlation Summary tab.

Figure 4: Currency Correlation

In the above diagram, we see that for the AUD_USD pair, the news heatmap when averaged with correlated pairs, tends to be overbought. This means that on average, the economic news for all pairs correlated with the AUD_USD pair tends to indicate a short selling position. The same is done for the technical analysis. In general it is better to look at the currency correlation summary when making a trading decision as it incorporates a larger number of price predictions.


Strategy Formulation

To better understand how you can use economic news release information in your trading, we will analyze a trading setup for the AUD_USD pair using a chart for the pair provided by Investing.com shown below. The chart in addition to showing price action also shows news releases for the pair shown as yellow circles.


Figure 5: Forex Chart Analysis

By looking at the news heatmap (shown below) for the AUD_USD pair, we know that on the longer time frames, the pair is biased towards a long position, but on the shorter time frames, the pair is biased towards selling. This is shown by the red and green arrows, in accordance with the news heatmap.


Figure 6: News Heatmap

In such conflicting cases where it may not be clear to place a long or short position, we can use a hedging strategy to capture both possible movements. To do this, we would place a short position with a stop (or trailing stop) above 0.7060 price point and a long position with a stop or trailing stop below 0.7010 price point. Trailing stops are generally preferred, as they better capture the upside of large positive price movements and require no take profit to be placed. Hence there is never a need to close out a position explicitly. They work particuarly well when using a hedging strategy as they better capture directional movements associated with news release momentum.

Currency Pair Description Hours Since Currency Barrier
USD_CADCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
GBP_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.998649994813410.5902479338843
+130 pips0.997819055178940.57918388429752
USD_CHFCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
EUR_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.00160985546866030.60890022675737
AUD_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
NZD_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
USD_JPYCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
USD_CADPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0724873474469110.57230902777778
GBP_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0718831313821180.578125
USD_CHFPersonal Spending m/m92USD
EUR_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.322205777639950.57199546485261
AUD_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
NZD_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0170915004874730.60557851239669
-140 pips0.0253486012057740.61495867768595
-170 pips0.0604882075047010.594075
USD_JPYPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.497883846127110.59176215277778
USD_CADPersonal Income m/m92USD
GBP_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0629357482551110.58455782312925
USD_CHFPersonal Income m/m92USD
EUR_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.0337313436615830.58219008264463
AUD_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
NZD_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.973277664682210.59413043478261
USD_JPYPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.909094478519860.57316840277778
USD_CADS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0846715731899880.5971694214876
-80 pips0.485652069591320.5789979338843
-90 pips0.0918174572725050.59552083333333
+130 pips0.685966353812920.58321180555556
-150 pips0.395214699851460.57327256944444
+160 pips0.506336266597890.59176215277778
-170 pips0.0660934793367520.62384548611111
-180 pips0.0680201170978190.60278645833333
-190 pips0.104110235280320.584296875
-200 pips0.36547039985830.57004340277778
GBP_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
USD_CHFS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0611464564016530.62433837429112
EUR_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0345017052725540.61078449905482
-80 pips0.053416434207280.58197542533081
-90 pips0.0544575930257190.57718336483932
-110 pips0.0514787761480910.57347222222222
-120 pips0.0556944367960130.607421875
-140 pips0.0401909621195920.59953993055556
+190 pips0.502082583083170.60198784722222
+200 pips0.531162486220630.58699652777778
AUD_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
NZD_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
USD_JPYS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.177840852357260.57875
-190 pips0.294241954695350.60675803402647
-200 pips0.297484009871630.58219281663516
USD_CADCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.113558945401620.58217881944444
GBP_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0614274693964070.5734404536862
USD_CHFCB Consumer Confidence91USD
EUR_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0793643733563880.57921550094518
AUD_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
NZD_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.913978957099930.6275
+170 pips0.891112509259920.58745746691871
USD_JPYCB Consumer Confidence91USD
USD_CADPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.0700025062890690.59234375
-190 pips0.0761716313554480.57175347222222
GBP_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0694550850713060.58776859504132
-110 pips0.0675912753855590.6417458677686
-160 pips0.0437132789045230.57014739229025
USD_CHFPending Home Sales m/m91USD
EUR_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.912428407748080.58673611111111
+100 pips0.920414400107540.60512152777778
+110 pips0.851077439745070.58183159722222
+130 pips0.839955785372060.59487847222222
+140 pips0.851167612305270.58540798611111
+150 pips0.841145989735430.59872395833333
+160 pips0.833732272135220.59721354166667
+180 pips0.829162134739560.57937618147448
+190 pips0.865941881450320.59931001890359
+200 pips0.848201078078970.61035916824197
AUD_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.648769415115250.58442148760331
NZD_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
USD_JPYPending Home Sales m/m91USD
USD_CADADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
GBP_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
USD_CHFADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
EUR_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
AUD_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.742280446198770.5704958677686
+140 pips0.740978021503640.6173629489603
+150 pips0.775464277199780.590595463138
NZD_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
USD_JPYADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.118911824243470.57405864197531
-90 pips0.151207132041190.58747922437673
USD_CADEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
GBP_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
USD_CHFEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
EUR_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
AUD_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
NZD_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
USD_JPYEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
USD_CADChicago PMI67USD
GBP_USDChicago PMI67USD
USD_CHFChicago PMI67USD
EUR_USDChicago PMI67USD
AUD_USDChicago PMI67USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.545636324439780.57757369614512
NZD_USDChicago PMI67USD
USD_JPYChicago PMI67USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.22341958225320.60190972222222
-120 pips0.0865360375612540.59560491493384
USD_CADCrude Oil Inventories67USD
GBP_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
USD_CHFCrude Oil Inventories67USD
EUR_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
AUD_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
NZD_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
USD_JPYCrude Oil Inventories67USD
USD_CADFederal Funds Rate63USD
GBP_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips3.6634410805534E-50.579
USD_CHFFederal Funds Rate63USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips4.9608436534456E-50.58556640625
-170 pips4.9608436534456E-50.579375
-190 pips5.0020348205542E-50.5854296875
EUR_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.999978984205280.60213333333333
+200 pips0.999977657644640.5928125
AUD_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
NZD_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
USD_JPYFederal Funds Rate63USD
USD_CADUnemployment Claims45USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.101178110882390.5797052154195
GBP_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
USD_CHFUnemployment Claims45USD
EUR_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
AUD_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
NZD_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
USD_JPYUnemployment Claims45USD
USD_CADFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.969163783145090.61295555555556
+110 pips0.980351728810510.60384444444444
GBP_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.919221426868350.57171111111111
+60 pips0.983718617488340.68986666666667
+70 pips0.984222318541760.60348888888889
USD_CHFFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
EUR_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
AUD_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.845564105065540.57995555555556
NZD_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.282035109522040.60295555555556
+80 pips0.991074419760020.59722222222222
+90 pips0.991044353283470.63295555555556
+100 pips0.819134014261390.5884
-110 pips0.0288360320040380.60266666666667
-130 pips0.387268915106950.58117777777778
-160 pips0.0264472133290.59971111111111
-170 pips0.0257716957458540.62006666666667
-180 pips0.0176756537384280.64757777777778
-190 pips0.0176756537384280.633
-200 pips0.0216312563946430.65013333333333
USD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
USD_CADISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.924610134519830.57253472222222
GBP_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
USD_CHFISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
EUR_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.918674868872940.63116319444444
+70 pips0.911127288803050.57473534971645
AUD_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
NZD_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0625602386671680.59502835538752
-90 pips0.0836512598096750.585
USD_JPYISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
USD_CADConstruction Spending m/m44USD
GBP_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
USD_CHFConstruction Spending m/m44USD
EUR_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
AUD_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
NZD_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
USD_JPYConstruction Spending m/m44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.0560377763718580.6192438563327
-130 pips0.0567876274204790.59246900826446
-160 pips0.0517686573503260.57770321361059
-170 pips0.0540452425929620.57083175803403
-190 pips0.0553459876319810.62526465028355
-200 pips0.0544116027380580.65447916666667
USD_CADISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
GBP_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
USD_CHFISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0881794696411150.5835847107438
-120 pips0.0830496591184410.57503472222222
-130 pips0.0849082221635830.57137396694215
EUR_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
AUD_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
NZD_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.163410945127720.58455729166667
USD_JPYISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.118458352732170.64243856332703
-50 pips0.0922217631331230.61870867768595
-60 pips0.383439578539790.60702947845805
-70 pips0.071700287526760.59369565217391
-80 pips0.10866557746030.64254253308129
+90 pips0.779339419005660.58138020833333
+100 pips0.813190668695820.61510330578512
-110 pips0.0735983028742260.61276937618147
USD_CADNatural Gas Storage43USD
GBP_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
USD_CHFNatural Gas Storage43USD
EUR_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
AUD_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
NZD_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
USD_JPYNatural Gas Storage43USD
USD_CADAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
GBP_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.015925776101060.587816
-140 pips0.0150640886270090.58209201388889
-160 pips0.00588395905842040.57444444444444
-180 pips0.0120351976427820.57672743055556
-190 pips0.0155086069766740.60446124763705
-200 pips0.00906997480321140.60318525519849
USD_CHFAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0123641315240810.579675
-140 pips0.384256717101640.62444214876033
-150 pips0.0159406528487850.64695247933884
-160 pips0.0818917513741030.58439049586777
-170 pips0.0118550501441010.62992063492063
-180 pips0.0177729423607360.60718820861678
EUR_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.494602373234370.57001890359168
AUD_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.937548868651630.57429752066116
+170 pips0.959108306005380.57519848771267
NZD_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.682206288573090.6061673553719
+70 pips0.659126985579440.59593572778828
+80 pips0.98360901165430.57220041322314
+90 pips0.984685418399460.58695247933884
+100 pips0.987770776111570.58465909090909
+110 pips0.994503623957840.62023760330579
+120 pips0.995921981585230.58530612244898
+140 pips0.99172997726210.58580498866213
USD_JPYAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
USD_CADNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0848742853064750.5753213610586
GBP_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0789501839388810.592704
-130 pips0.0620891129846790.57560491493384
+150 pips0.637192551463430.595632
-160 pips0.463311435742210.60298611111111
+190 pips0.987346111200110.59595463137996
+200 pips0.912165368300240.61693761814745
USD_CHFNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.12397991093320.58379132231405
EUR_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
AUD_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.115155245125230.58885330578512
+130 pips0.636283526381690.60848140495868
+140 pips0.7421440850590.57014177693762
-150 pips0.116561990447130.59637051039698
NZD_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
USD_JPYNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0499843555068160.589325
-140 pips0.0613098762685510.61765927977839
-150 pips0.0562228182680320.5744459833795
-160 pips0.0546124264718530.63623268698061
USD_CADUnemployment Rate22USD
GBP_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0132789541340840.57461805555556
-120 pips0.0146772427925420.57616
-130 pips0.00697308402768750.57
-160 pips0.00862998263794630.57769965277778
USD_CHFUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.919060466919520.60956611570248
EUR_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0157055287859950.58719954648526
-60 pips0.0170977723617250.58713842975207
AUD_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.507063797766650.63385487528345
-60 pips0.496513910309030.57048553719008
NZD_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
USD_JPYUnemployment Rate22USD
USD_CADTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.285422244919150.57409262759924
GBP_USDTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.107780398952030.574125
USD_CHFTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.958430872751150.57110586011342
+190 pips0.956815515098110.61025519848771
EUR_USDTrade Balance22USD
AUD_USDTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.942043532486220.592
NZD_USDTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.958494209020660.5926843100189
USD_JPYTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.114663864842240.59461247637051
-90 pips0.0662114495688280.59580578512397
-100 pips0.0821925047215770.60631379962193
-130 pips0.0611860068785880.59620867768595
USD_CADRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
GBP_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
USD_CHFRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
EUR_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.877500089493510.60327479338843
AUD_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0803464829157070.57530381944444
NZD_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
USD_JPYRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
USD_CADFactory Orders m/m21USD
GBP_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.929826369232950.58827032136106
USD_CHFFactory Orders m/m21USD
EUR_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.0486023159644450.61915798611111
AUD_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
NZD_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
USD_JPYFactory Orders m/m21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.842832854218810.57328125
+140 pips0.938334887812690.58334593572779
AUD_CADCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CHFCPI q/q81AUD
EUR_AUDCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_JPYCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_NZDCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_USDCPI q/q81AUD
GBP_AUDCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CADTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CHFTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
EUR_AUDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_JPYTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_NZDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_USDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
GBP_AUDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CADPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
AUD_CHFPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
EUR_AUDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.883441764570640.60278645833333
AUD_JPYPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.788360550922170.58783553875236
+90 pips0.796896121587720.59709710743802
+110 pips0.791814724425820.58755198487713
+140 pips0.614624108445790.57050094517958
AUD_NZDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0273345988829420.58181474480151
-140 pips0.0298338836445030.60447845804989
-150 pips0.0283653877875880.57641723356009
-190 pips0.032287417503090.59507231404959
-200 pips0.0662564991954340.58017561983471
AUD_USDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
GBP_AUDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
AUD_CADImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_CHFImport Prices q/q58AUD
EUR_AUDImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_JPYImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_NZDImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_USDImport Prices q/q58AUD
GBP_AUDImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_CADRetail Sales m/m34AUD
AUD_CHFRetail Sales m/m34AUD
EUR_AUDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
AUD_JPYRetail Sales m/m34AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0374091581262370.59048553719008
+140 pips0.902216569945260.600192
AUD_NZDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.952024393559520.61078993055556
+190 pips0.651717008192620.57253099173554
AUD_USDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
GBP_AUDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
AUD_CADPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_CHFPPI q/q34AUD
EUR_AUDPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_JPYPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_NZDPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_USDPPI q/q34AUD
GBP_AUDPPI q/q34AUD
CHF_JPYKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.970251252827550.57325520833333
+80 pips0.910162665663350.60498109640832
-90 pips0.0776992373571860.57170138888889
-100 pips0.0986476712946170.64246527777778
AUD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
USD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
EUR_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0942946013331260.58150283553875
NZD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0367818157220120.57187145557656
CAD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0518474564083210.61503472222222
-130 pips0.106237646450240.57368055555556
-140 pips0.0396923974884970.59868055555556
-150 pips0.0417109358734360.58347826086957
-170 pips0.0462419427450550.59530991735537
-180 pips0.0435368365930040.59385487528345
-190 pips0.118515284898540.58497732426304
-200 pips0.173593490202960.61189049586777
GBP_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.103942810828650.5815875
+140 pips0.642161487968760.58785318559557
CHF_JPYCPI m/m29CHF
AUD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.941373596146190.586175
USD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0253166117519250.60650173611111
-60 pips0.0634085461795220.61580498866213
-70 pips0.137383238995030.5742875
-90 pips0.0541212469999440.5945625
-110 pips0.0299538208427150.58843490304709
EUR_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.393778634198190.60593572778828
NZD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.970934530922240.61005671077505
CAD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.986991640235830.63417233560091
+140 pips0.966935886596660.59886621315193
+150 pips0.965605866902590.60294784580499
+160 pips0.966342754936860.58979591836735
GBP_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
CHF_JPYManufacturing PMI28CHF
AUD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
USD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
EUR_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
NZD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0552584039709320.59518229166667
-50 pips0.0749701228949450.60664930555556
-60 pips0.0747701355837870.57273156899811
CAD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-170 pips0.065799832593650.57838541666667
GBP_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
CHF_JPYSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
AUD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
USD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
EUR_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
NZD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
CAD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
GBP_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
CHF_JPYRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.236005159668660.61751736111111
AUD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0588692228000950.57368620037807
+50 pips0.588059092726660.58824380165289
+60 pips0.717242411302130.63063368055556
+70 pips0.655051611507750.5738326446281
+100 pips0.787192198991990.57125
+110 pips0.706347194921870.60547520661157
+120 pips0.720369687255530.57623966942149
USD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.110864136305410.58484126984127
EUR_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.919224910649590.59861111111111
NZD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.85027038878980.57830729166667
CAD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0396931757406210.60982993197279
-60 pips0.0672026193758480.60893424036281
-90 pips0.105536160571890.57425347222222
GBP_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.397439487231140.57635734072022
CHF_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.941925104819130.57328254847645
+50 pips0.972168685377940.59771626297578
+60 pips0.943986860882390.58166089965398
+150 pips0.923929456810560.57114958448753
GBP_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.944757573617390.58238185255198
+130 pips0.943481848699440.60283553875236
+140 pips0.958260399877320.6496786389414
+160 pips0.955420849448120.57691871455577
+170 pips0.918061147648470.5897258979206
+200 pips0.907897129020340.57121900826446
AUD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.155673645346120.59882716049383
EUR_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.852635421988270.57236111111111
NZD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.570023557319480.59484504132231
+190 pips0.527529921565370.61035916824197
+200 pips0.566660777589650.58052930056711
CAD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.919445341169190.57678638941399
USD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
CHF_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.108135823165330.58096354166667
-100 pips0.221156174843840.57896825396825
GBP_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
AUD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.947577259504610.61686200378072
+50 pips0.946821696104580.59184027777778
-120 pips0.0790940823923580.58104914933837
-130 pips0.234803785866210.57626654064272
-140 pips0.338654312585370.59390625
-150 pips0.0866406813244580.63061436672968
-160 pips0.338381799435750.58914933837429
EUR_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
NZD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.124730879658320.58337673611111
+160 pips0.578741214264810.57753308128544
+190 pips0.897111232112310.60414930555556
CAD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.941443446693160.58296786389414
+140 pips0.917814370162920.60600189035917
-160 pips0.105739769024240.57552951388889
-180 pips0.12276528604090.57013020833333
USD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
CHF_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
GBP_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.00643506514544880.57635555555556
-160 pips0.00465753665782170.5882
AUD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
EUR_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.199492432938280.60088888888889
NZD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
CAD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.334030359605790.57351111111111
USD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
CHF_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
GBP_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
AUD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
EUR_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
NZD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
CAD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
USD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.942625869797490.57159722222222
+140 pips0.932639882611260.576832
+160 pips0.922674768321970.57334710743802
+180 pips0.920730959716280.59098958333333
GBP_JPYGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_NZDGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.956743080542150.570864
GBP_USDGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.855931694877170.57030991735537
+90 pips0.95285781426990.58868620037807
+100 pips0.924479774587240.59607638888889
+110 pips0.927956856744650.62269097222222
-170 pips0.024130755582710.64185950413223
-200 pips0.0271721020540570.58397727272727
EUR_GBPGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_AUDGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_CADGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0562266491874430.59707756232687
-100 pips0.0525434662333980.5827625
+160 pips0.960059655133490.58242214532872
+200 pips0.932583640277780.58106404958678
GBP_CHFGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_JPYNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0463935645855920.57990548204159
GBP_NZDNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_USDNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0637277743940550.61655381944444
-100 pips0.0432414108110320.58382797731569
-110 pips0.040051438339640.60796006944444
-120 pips0.0393170314770020.58402646502836
-130 pips0.0370465821377640.61503780718336
-140 pips0.0463257508097980.57536862003781
EUR_GBPNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_AUDNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_CADNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_CHFNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_JPYManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_NZDManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_USDManufacturing PMI52GBP
EUR_GBPManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_AUDManufacturing PMI52GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0613778203758720.57105034722222
-60 pips0.0646303804981280.57857638888889
GBP_CADManufacturing PMI52GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.947346075306110.59497732426304
+130 pips0.936450318934280.58869806094183
GBP_CHFManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_JPYMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_NZDMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_USDMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
EUR_GBPMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.99249186018680.57063711911357
+150 pips0.993750581529440.57752077562327
+160 pips0.993778491671570.57054016620499
GBP_AUDMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_CADMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_CHFMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_JPYOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_NZDOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_USDOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
EUR_GBPOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_AUDOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_CADOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_CHFOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_JPYAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_NZDAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_USDAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
EUR_GBPAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_AUDAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_CADAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_CHFAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_JPYMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_NZDMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_USDMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.996678465289980.57003086419753
EUR_GBPMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_AUDMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_CADMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.99139918876460.57966049382716
+180 pips0.99150828849110.61389273356401
+190 pips0.999560818800150.58185185185185
GBP_CHFMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_JPYConstruction PMI28GBP
GBP_NZDConstruction PMI28GBP
GBP_USDConstruction PMI28GBP
EUR_GBPConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0967810228553110.5726625
-170 pips0.0730297078694170.59578231292517
-180 pips0.094716232470110.59651859504132
GBP_AUDConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.94121774522710.58613421550095
+90 pips0.944749568021050.59059027777778
+110 pips0.932092188027080.58694214876033
+120 pips0.938587533170690.59792517006803
+140 pips0.935420349999460.58600907029478
+150 pips0.874562562106790.579225
GBP_CADConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.905898934186420.59714285714286
GBP_CHFConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.61561886134270.57743856332703
GBP_JPYServices PMI4GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.875805713823360.60986394557823
+120 pips0.941167590963530.57108033240997
GBP_NZDServices PMI4GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.944297120304980.5823629489603
GBP_USDServices PMI4GBP
EUR_GBPServices PMI4GBP
GBP_AUDServices PMI4GBP
GBP_CADServices PMI4GBP
GBP_CHFServices PMI4GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0448936234757320.5917625
-180 pips0.0682190356343760.59292060491493
-190 pips0.0702387551164150.58082644628099
AUD_CADGDP m/m72CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.978424869658870.59425347222222
USD_CADGDP m/m72CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.934530393266250.58935950413223
EUR_CADGDP m/m72CAD
NZD_CADGDP m/m72CAD
CAD_CHFGDP m/m72CAD
GBP_CADGDP m/m72CAD
CAD_JPYGDP m/m72CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.0696296842327050.58197542533081
AUD_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.940570975499210.60357438016529
+110 pips0.939925743134780.58625868055556
+120 pips0.938281239266580.57565217391304
+130 pips0.931956677106880.60538752362949
+140 pips0.934373145691010.58811631944444
+150 pips0.939067633083030.60030245746692
USD_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
EUR_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
NZD_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.068429179998580.58997933884298
CAD_CHFRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.943823256319830.59572048611111
+50 pips0.938458732584780.58114366729679
GBP_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0863113781527690.57910590277778
CAD_JPYRMPI m/m73CAD
AUD_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.947743030780020.610625
+110 pips0.942611957891510.57494791666667
USD_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.902588547237880.58274305555556
+150 pips0.898644355588350.57741319444444
+170 pips0.896053642022620.62899305555556
+180 pips0.956112829424110.62559895833333
+190 pips0.954851899392090.57383680555556
EUR_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
NZD_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
CAD_CHFIPPI m/m73CAD
GBP_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
CAD_JPYIPPI m/m73CAD
AUD_CADTrade Balance25CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0806406072961160.5836375
+80 pips0.913916814254730.61105
USD_CADTrade Balance25CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.895429354670950.57799479166667
EUR_CADTrade Balance25CAD
NZD_CADTrade Balance25CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.947529813002460.59572778827977
-170 pips0.129135943569980.645
-180 pips0.121407298327940.58734404536862
CAD_CHFTrade Balance25CAD
GBP_CADTrade Balance25CAD
CAD_JPYTrade Balance25CAD
EUR_NZDFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_CADFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_USDFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_NZDGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.972992550835620.57
EUR_AUDGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0384886174486370.57253968253968
EUR_CADGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.570429164472990.5913988657845
-130 pips0.175960803415880.58882797731569
-170 pips0.160866044759420.61260869565217
-180 pips0.154108811952520.61623966942149
-200 pips0.228633791227130.60801512287335
EUR_CHFGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.860430083451290.5911247637051
+70 pips0.771129136306680.59453686200378
+80 pips0.738399628236970.62780381944444
+100 pips0.835738526320440.58688368055556
+140 pips0.538761235026090.60060950413223
EUR_USDGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.969835136996450.57547743055556
EUR_GBPGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
EUR_JPYGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0409201697795320.58690926275992
EUR_NZDFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0567283046073710.58335538752363
-50 pips0.0805214261749440.63987603305785
-60 pips0.0463756136845430.58521541950113
-90 pips0.0418145967241210.65318525519849
-100 pips0.0611205405923610.63176748582231
-110 pips0.0283372521798430.58110537190083
-120 pips0.044882571650990.62340264650284
-130 pips0.0555246368707740.61865784499055
EUR_AUDFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_CADFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.348179160641590.60056710775047
-150 pips0.34493940619610.63168241965974
-160 pips0.404186136394630.62165406427221
-170 pips0.347955766668050.61232514177694
-180 pips0.34884876143830.6108034026465
-190 pips0.348752913117530.57555765595463
EUR_CHFFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0601418950870740.57917355371901
-50 pips0.0612501496128530.58766540642722
-60 pips0.0660892302826860.58165798611111
EUR_USDFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_NZDGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0470663662796560.59368923611111
-70 pips0.0284656772036880.6075236294896
-100 pips0.0673562359336650.57914933837429
EUR_AUDGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.916879295235850.5843537414966
+160 pips0.927139645570250.61743801652893
+170 pips0.93666699992020.61948979591837
+180 pips0.932681485312660.59316115702479
+190 pips0.922175424991550.5810847107438
+200 pips0.936012263533660.57527892561983
EUR_CADGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0409158553094740.60941398865785
-90 pips0.0397283392032170.60189035916824
EUR_CHFGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
EUR_USDGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.938281261890830.57203213610586
+140 pips0.940899348456950.58881198347107
+170 pips0.94112822734630.60703512396694
+180 pips0.937767758100920.60944214876033
+190 pips0.933403873077050.62488662131519
+200 pips0.923128062829910.59412698412698
EUR_GBPGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
EUR_NZDFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_CADFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_USDFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_NZDSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_AUDSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_CADSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_CHFSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_USDSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_GBPSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_JPYSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_NZDGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.880007255694640.60454631379962
+120 pips0.888204374137020.60497933884298
-150 pips0.349856457387470.58405482041588
+160 pips0.890236182485210.60238636363636
+170 pips0.900914441059990.58810950413223
+180 pips0.881131517527540.57739669421488
EUR_AUDGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.930857372390820.6024763705104
-60 pips0.222798919041630.60152354570637
EUR_CADGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_USDGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.922597816097730.60820415879017
+70 pips0.906513475642460.57809027777778
+80 pips0.90341413652520.61503472222222
+90 pips0.932300751831870.59423440453686
EUR_GBPGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_NZDItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0551450175901740.57046875
+60 pips0.960292183666880.57946666666667
EUR_AUDItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
EUR_CADItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.04516213678890.58243827160494
-50 pips0.0494090451454940.57060185185185
EUR_CHFItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.324591738072540.59520761245675
-90 pips0.344079845199760.58846020761246
-100 pips0.343536056888680.58756055363322
-110 pips0.335338740423320.59878892733564
-120 pips0.33282473352290.62088235294118
-130 pips0.318887204112720.58657439446367
-150 pips0.32694706695230.57889273356401
-170 pips0.362438884221520.5716796875
EUR_USDItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.041714126030110.61256055363322
-120 pips0.0438062903171680.5716955017301
EUR_JPYItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0431610446022930.6282421875
EUR_NZDCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_AUDCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_CADCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_CHFCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.847534180679760.57797743055556
-110 pips0.0383323086626740.60576388888889
-140 pips0.0390343195020440.58792060491493
EUR_USDCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.658698707254120.60176748582231
EUR_GBPCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.972299037443890.5954475308642
+50 pips0.976391884689130.5844125
+60 pips0.988752812103630.60364265927978
+70 pips0.991660345596620.62496598639456
+190 pips0.963387274371080.61570247933884
EUR_JPYCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_NZDCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_AUDCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.993738626068580.57235555555556
+180 pips0.999877569758990.57882222222222
EUR_CADCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.983984830016320.58608888888889
+110 pips0.96955756063170.58411111111111
EUR_CHFCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_USDCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_GBPCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_JPYCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0172659922593530.57175555555556
-160 pips0.0155196678536880.64191111111111
-170 pips0.00415736552092830.63542222222222
-180 pips0.00341030167092180.58993333333333
EUR_NZDItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0406500580069680.57535916824197
-80 pips0.0325641065313520.63792060491493
-90 pips0.0465211732535380.6026843100189
EUR_AUDItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.34333192016420.59348140495868
EUR_CADItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.390714989849270.59709829867675
+50 pips0.512932597420420.61778925619835
+60 pips0.56852509179880.61107438016529
EUR_CHFItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0158162977507520.59240451388889
-60 pips0.36096037798170.60740075614367
-70 pips0.433410833069680.58310763888889
+80 pips0.953813085398050.60973090277778
-90 pips0.0221507976216040.5874763705104
-100 pips0.019707438310080.58316840277778
-110 pips0.0142242426046550.60209829867675
+130 pips0.874886324782290.5998393194707
+140 pips0.838252035414740.5754347826087
EUR_USDItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.024999835380870.57256076388889
EUR_GBPItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.557556997216110.60454293628809
-130 pips0.359597513971570.62637119113573
-160 pips0.351662151393860.5887625
EUR_JPYItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
EUR_NZDPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_AUDPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CADPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CHFPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_USDPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_GBPPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_JPYPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_NZDUnemployment Rate77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.991063851614980.60782986111111
EUR_AUDUnemployment Rate77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0125121496792340.57316115702479
-110 pips0.00944291710843490.57815082644628
EUR_CADUnemployment Rate77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.401925615112620.57696597353497
-110 pips0.338525935133080.61097505668934
-120 pips0.402346973225820.62070888468809
EUR_CHFUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_USDUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_GBPUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_JPYUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_NZDItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_AUDItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CADItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_USDItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_JPYItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_NZDSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.0589320253561270.57831111111111
EUR_AUDSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.340290814055530.60951111111111
EUR_CADSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.975123216406570.58471111111111
+110 pips0.974411223908080.65435555555556
+120 pips0.974411223908080.64262222222222
+130 pips0.975851386693260.62528888888889
+140 pips0.931591737530120.61242222222222
EUR_CHFSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0390592525194170.58575555555556
-90 pips0.0469229287381950.5876
-100 pips0.0446748108229580.5948
-110 pips0.0582696195387370.57906666666667
-120 pips0.361004685009610.57673333333333
-150 pips0.0350772999237620.60811111111111
-160 pips0.0404549615248980.62151111111111
-170 pips0.0404549615248980.61173333333333
EUR_USDSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0713217209093430.58442222222222
EUR_GBPSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_JPYSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0617699935087330.5736
EUR_NZDItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.938944875136190.600078125
+80 pips0.938302761283730.57827256944444
+90 pips0.944147725159670.61237240075614
+100 pips0.945914887880490.63202268431002
EUR_AUDItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CADItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.518079310711170.58948347107438
-170 pips0.296233146596360.58545351473923
EUR_CHFItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.896226602523970.57016
+80 pips0.9320048280040.584752
+90 pips0.946003225384480.63604166666667
+110 pips0.943315252787570.61964083175803
+120 pips0.945202053145960.58430056710775
+130 pips0.944900632168750.63060491493384
+140 pips0.94109105723830.63495274102079
+150 pips0.942111364978440.64023760330579
+160 pips0.941826441046150.61617768595041
+170 pips0.925034991268470.68702947845805
+180 pips0.92067250992390.6339152892562
+190 pips0.916926123527020.63439909297052
+200 pips0.919380742308580.66463718820862
EUR_USDItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0668244127398960.61971074380165
-120 pips0.0609181606138420.58199546485261
-170 pips0.0686214707344920.57278911564626
EUR_JPYItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.115130481484190.59067148760331
-110 pips0.115473939423460.59159863945578
EUR_NZDFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.971569686366380.58654320987654
EUR_AUDFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.629410705597390.577525
EUR_CADFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.981760513407920.58782548476454
+140 pips0.980354397343030.586
+170 pips0.987426425974110.60347645429363
EUR_USDFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.747696564224460.588025
+90 pips0.948033821985650.61598765432099
+100 pips0.95934708734530.618175
+110 pips0.849898618125720.6009875
+120 pips0.969320325325860.60775
+130 pips0.808766882763750.63808390022676
+140 pips0.677123904723290.581025
+180 pips0.980648819654760.5701108033241
EUR_GBPFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0156009341693370.57256232686981
-70 pips0.0148978994486810.5847625
-160 pips0.0109303847362530.57601108033241
-170 pips0.0163420913097110.60904761904762
-180 pips0.0167833739591260.57022727272727
EUR_JPYFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.016344790900260.58342105263158
-60 pips0.00725253249260830.59349030470914
-70 pips0.0290683869143410.6867728531856
-80 pips0.0677231027556910.61991349480969
-100 pips0.00126297896171640.59930555555556
-110 pips0.00541542168196470.60689814814815
-130 pips0.00841105215856330.5745524691358
-160 pips0.00615844197321570.57534626038781
-180 pips0.0394542822704780.699575
-190 pips0.00918345749137380.620925
EUR_NZDGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.981782393166190.58438775510204
+100 pips0.987483351452460.5841625
EUR_AUDGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0258846812114940.58668975069252
+170 pips0.982600976295350.574325
EUR_CADGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.98771533534580.5747619047619
+110 pips0.984192233856020.5919
+130 pips0.987361756122190.58835180055402
+140 pips0.979485179162320.607375
+150 pips0.970065613023940.58547091412742
+160 pips0.978349049345560.5998891966759
+170 pips0.97448859804990.61695290858726
+180 pips0.97232702344160.66595567867036
+190 pips0.97505430058320.63951523545706
+200 pips0.972218220809750.61506925207756
EUR_USDGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.987864904518560.5842
+70 pips0.992359776947970.580525
+80 pips0.984740266653950.60885041551247
+90 pips0.985277275462130.58453703703704
+170 pips0.977440171037820.57781163434903
+180 pips0.978516511534010.58573407202216
-200 pips0.354470886383950.570075
EUR_GBPGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0139447479598640.5779
-140 pips0.00622674597126850.5868836565097
-160 pips0.00659580196581350.60711911357341
-170 pips0.00591541564951180.65283446712018
-180 pips0.00642102335844240.6174173553719
-190 pips0.00661788788332030.59091836734694
-200 pips0.00572338231727950.59542936288089
EUR_JPYGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_NZDFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.00948195468007490.57101239669421
+140 pips0.987122717015580.63959357277883
+150 pips0.989097378253130.61452479338843
+160 pips0.992107537165350.61410123966942
+170 pips0.995912594632410.67836734693878
+180 pips0.995290872490970.63419501133787
+190 pips0.987287150995610.62130165289256
-200 pips0.0126724637406560.59486394557823
EUR_AUDFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CADFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0015160990075720.61445
-90 pips0.125123998691380.598725
-100 pips0.0560026013328120.60147392290249
EUR_CHFFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.00251539531552850.60096354166667
-60 pips0.0165838028344350.59246527777778
-70 pips0.0169915294685650.573328
+80 pips0.987471977460240.618632
+90 pips0.987027734059030.58697048611111
+140 pips0.993224709202130.57100189035917
EUR_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_GBPFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.993831203009870.5786125
+140 pips0.993465306041330.58996900826446
EUR_NZDSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0718072151930390.62048888888889
-130 pips0.0787836509325460.57797777777778
EUR_AUDSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.958699156804470.59544444444444
+140 pips0.931595251020290.57497777777778
+170 pips0.577414343059030.58864444444444
-190 pips0.376206590686790.57993333333333
+200 pips0.950065385593490.61173333333333
EUR_CADSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
EUR_CHFSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
EUR_USDSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.917166989651470.57997777777778
+190 pips0.921730240550060.57395555555556
+200 pips0.919173075047880.58615555555556
EUR_GBPSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
EUR_JPYSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0250191569807010.58717777777778
-150 pips0.0269709983200630.57397777777778
-170 pips0.026900202965350.63113333333333
EUR_NZDItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.112348727622570.57572
+140 pips0.880274043757930.59763429752066
+150 pips0.913388278935760.63777892561983
+160 pips0.893056547480410.62683364839319
+180 pips0.892547138453150.57412190082645
+200 pips0.892194166693660.58891493055556
EUR_AUDItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_CADItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_USDItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.065199525869130.66248263888889
-50 pips0.0636760421676530.62716145833333
EUR_GBPItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_JPYItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_NZDPPI m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.954634817246890.58248966942149
+130 pips0.957144349051330.58390359168242
EUR_AUDPPI m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.933468507543990.59474173553719
EUR_CADPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_CHFPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_USDPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_GBPPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_JPYPPI m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.929741963938780.58077097505669
EUR_NZDItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.633314959988170.5732541322314
+50 pips0.61911751133820.59069214876033
-60 pips0.062888610707610.63037414965986
+70 pips0.601621099625940.64967975206612
+80 pips0.960560462889460.5977875
+170 pips0.973276323445920.60818576388889
EUR_AUDItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.961887760914820.57882231404959
EUR_CADItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.761427498494020.58223958333333
-90 pips0.039838345122370.59628099173554
-100 pips0.281703440629340.57707644628099
EUR_USDItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.926356787306980.5741375
EUR_GBPItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.945985115921160.60813799621928
+200 pips0.948164888182760.57459357277883
EUR_JPYItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
EUR_NZDRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.915585757023030.63894097222222
+60 pips0.928457127094170.57709829867675
+80 pips0.914016027222590.58545368620038
+90 pips0.920711094695980.57968809073724
+100 pips0.913442122434420.57967881944444
+110 pips0.901283537876260.57735243055556
+120 pips0.901202128544420.57242911153119
EUR_AUDRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.641819754162890.595624
+90 pips0.633246273920710.62912
EUR_CADRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.665656051235430.57399810964083
EUR_CHFRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.942964826813510.57577504725898
+120 pips0.96807487607120.64312854442344
EUR_USDRetail Sales m/m31EUR
EUR_GBPRetail Sales m/m31EUR
EUR_JPYRetail Sales m/m31EUR
EUR_NZDSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0579409820791690.60613333333333
-150 pips0.0506956032480640.6222
EUR_AUDSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.917207486589020.59275555555556
+150 pips0.924096281490470.57211111111111
+160 pips0.91792415896290.59948888888889
+180 pips0.911234169129640.57217777777778
+200 pips0.916250378224180.58253333333333
EUR_CADSpanish Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.942058381204380.59028888888889
+100 pips0.942058381204380.58095555555556
+110 pips0.928279735892370.62895555555556
+120 pips0.928279735892370.63795555555556
+140 pips0.949656699879260.59993333333333
EUR_USDSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.06504994043830.57335555555556
-60 pips0.064073182507220.59504444444444
EUR_GBPSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.956805377994940.63148888888889
+70 pips0.978855295923370.59668888888889
+80 pips0.959516972981580.64688888888889
+90 pips0.960113650225670.63044444444444
+100 pips0.969110131206750.633
+110 pips0.959567842685530.60768888888889
+120 pips0.959177042748260.58424444444444
+130 pips0.956397815684720.61686666666667
+140 pips0.975891612892850.58013333333333
+150 pips0.955723261832250.64211111111111
+160 pips0.950577363750090.57246666666667
+170 pips0.953989583444520.63653333333333
+190 pips0.956741256962810.63373333333333
+200 pips0.955391337559280.64502222222222
EUR_JPYSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.019806853361750.57595555555556
EUR_NZDItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0509579390796170.60454861111111
-70 pips0.050835457439030.635752
-80 pips0.0460049537158470.59122395833333
-90 pips0.0402868831457070.62260869565217
EUR_AUDItalian Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CADItalian Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0630004482039870.57443289224953
-110 pips0.0621585703616370.59261284722222
-170 pips0.0518107859377490.58436507936508
EUR_USDItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0412475927185570.57171487603306
EUR_GBPItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.931234496295350.59661157024793
+110 pips0.933709560858920.58677685950413
+120 pips0.932296676583380.57795918367347
+130 pips0.941919144436270.62072022160665
EUR_JPYItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0468833271737660.5803125
-150 pips0.0818902845616540.59828798185941
EUR_NZDFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CADFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_USDFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.978776015860140.57573407202216
+150 pips0.978213302716890.58261904761905
+160 pips0.977259220294010.5720375
+170 pips0.971272521045860.58918282548476
+200 pips0.97863575430650.5735
EUR_GBPFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.119194671232480.59056640625
EUR_NZDGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.509685375960990.58103878116343
+130 pips0.507398147676270.62483024691358
EUR_AUDGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.492790863970090.57961419753086
EUR_CADGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.699734449289060.58613573407202
+110 pips0.704552552163430.57858024691358
+120 pips0.705861562973750.6134487534626
EUR_CHFGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_USDGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_GBPGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0189882977688950.59049382716049
EUR_NZDFinal Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.397012148213130.57796487603306
+140 pips0.587976630497880.60488662131519
+160 pips0.689335737163130.57959183673469
-170 pips0.391223326968390.59285714285714
+180 pips0.668194851195040.62309523809524
-190 pips0.00790079084591640.6722335600907
-200 pips0.145484225350790.66612603305785
EUR_AUDFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CADFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_USDFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_GBPFinal Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0323330074046470.57296398891967
EUR_JPYFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_NZDSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.125486697372310.57043083900227
EUR_AUDSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.933691982423630.59057823129252
+50 pips0.963423975616350.58908163265306
-140 pips0.058746516297980.59880886426593
EUR_CADSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.659185421532340.59651228733459
+80 pips0.524512082896320.5834126984127
EUR_CHFSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
EUR_USDSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.12881300100450.57852551984877
-170 pips0.0528874358122270.57907986111111
EUR_GBPSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
EUR_JPYSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Currency Pair Description Hours Since Currency Barrier
USD_CADHPI m/m62USD
GBP_USDHPI m/m62USD
USD_CHFHPI m/m62USD
EUR_USDHPI m/m62USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.69888586426330.62186980609418
AUD_USDHPI m/m62USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.256011480133280.59668934240363
+90 pips0.865296588878910.57146814404432
NZD_USDHPI m/m62USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.380291785796330.59111570247934
-60 pips0.457659268109950.57165532879819
USD_JPYHPI m/m62USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.720372309806360.58231301939058
USD_CADExisting Home Sales61USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.807761855224040.64385330578512
+50 pips0.890848555623350.57653645833333
GBP_USDExisting Home Sales61USD
USD_CHFExisting Home Sales61USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.215937506168750.57493383742911
EUR_USDExisting Home Sales61USD
AUD_USDExisting Home Sales61USD
NZD_USDExisting Home Sales61USD
USD_JPYExisting Home Sales61USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.959721088086330.60611111111111
+200 pips0.529883817063170.61053287981859
USD_CADUnemployment Claims39USD
GBP_USDUnemployment Claims39USD
USD_CHFUnemployment Claims39USD
EUR_USDUnemployment Claims39USD
AUD_USDUnemployment Claims39USD
NZD_USDUnemployment Claims39USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.500975861284380.57795527993711
+190 pips0.531094106138970.57076460798817
USD_JPYUnemployment Claims39USD
USD_CADCB Leading Index m/m37USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.793434571068230.57505671077505
GBP_USDCB Leading Index m/m37USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.265921730759710.61105902777778
+120 pips0.899062265164350.60467881944444
+130 pips0.918664215284580.57845935727788
-180 pips0.241850172063430.57814058956916
-190 pips0.302273208187740.57548553719008
-200 pips0.302273208187740.60654958677686
USD_CHFCB Leading Index m/m37USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.785015526514460.57625868055556
EUR_USDCB Leading Index m/m37USD
AUD_USDCB Leading Index m/m37USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-170 pips0.261305408620380.58682291666667
NZD_USDCB Leading Index m/m37USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.340799374870250.57282118055556
USD_JPYCB Leading Index m/m37USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.25358379490930.58700378071834
-100 pips0.199715338405590.59467975206612
-110 pips0.0583534686607090.59051039697543
+130 pips0.531782313786580.59594008264463
+140 pips0.593920389057270.57302951388889
+150 pips0.512969389826520.5830056710775
+160 pips0.592625929345170.582109375
-180 pips0.192975365641170.57317580340265
USD_CADNatural Gas Storage37USD
GBP_USDNatural Gas Storage37USD
USD_CHFNatural Gas Storage37USD
EUR_USDNatural Gas Storage37USD
AUD_USDNatural Gas Storage37USD
NZD_USDNatural Gas Storage37USD
USD_JPYNatural Gas Storage37USD
USD_CADCrude Oil Inventories36USD
GBP_USDCrude Oil Inventories36USD
USD_CHFCrude Oil Inventories36USD
EUR_USDCrude Oil Inventories36USD
AUD_USDCrude Oil Inventories36USD
NZD_USDCrude Oil Inventories36USD
USD_JPYCrude Oil Inventories36USD
USD_CADFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0470223875561340.5796
+170 pips0.518471018320130.57586666666667
GBP_USDFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
USD_CHFFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
EUR_USDFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.717681790710080.6132
+80 pips0.682554019804350.57528888888889
+200 pips0.74277090987140.57906666666667
AUD_USDFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
NZD_USDFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.95742329203980.57582222222222
+150 pips0.639642254814470.576
USD_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.984750863131690.61262222222222
+150 pips0.961102805027430.62595555555556
+160 pips0.975353251670520.60673333333333
+190 pips0.924676433477150.62166666666667
USD_CADFlash Services PMI14USD
GBP_USDFlash Services PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.0657099003984510.57895555555556
USD_CHFFlash Services PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.988167066721410.63253333333333
+50 pips0.916349136639430.57775555555556
+60 pips0.899664368805490.60677777777778
+110 pips0.903923844318230.60771111111111
+160 pips0.962869472408120.59486666666667
EUR_USDFlash Services PMI14USD
AUD_USDFlash Services PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.072506933013130.57213333333333
-70 pips0.0211855946453920.64013333333333
-80 pips0.194272785538570.57057777777778
NZD_USDFlash Services PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.00407181438409280.63482222222222
USD_JPYFlash Services PMI14USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.731212641792040.58475555555556
+80 pips0.766368095360430.59815555555556
+140 pips0.978500930314960.59873333333333
+160 pips0.978506690346510.58137777777778
AUD_CADEmployment Change52AUD
AUD_CHFEmployment Change52AUD
EUR_AUDEmployment Change52AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.655831756183470.588216
AUD_JPYEmployment Change52AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.159199885409340.61909297052154
AUD_NZDEmployment Change52AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.449555225731690.57851239669421
AUD_USDEmployment Change52AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-190 pips0.111738120673070.57416666666667
GBP_AUDEmployment Change52AUD
AUD_CADUnemployment Rate52AUD
AUD_CHFUnemployment Rate52AUD
EUR_AUDUnemployment Rate52AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.5834097869090.624848
-50 pips0.476812808919170.60380208333333
AUD_JPYUnemployment Rate52AUD
AUD_NZDUnemployment Rate52AUD
AUD_USDUnemployment Rate52AUD
GBP_AUDUnemployment Rate52AUD
CHF_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
GBP_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
AUD_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
EUR_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
NZD_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
CAD_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
USD_JPYBOJ Policy Rate98JPY
CHF_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
GBP_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
AUD_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.155296658331190.59390359168242
EUR_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.366943765906880.57449905482042
NZD_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.236953821029510.59299621928166
-150 pips0.193948302159750.68480034722222
-160 pips0.128063721056230.57358223062382
-170 pips0.392138215264140.61890625
-200 pips0.306926582324610.61452256944444
CAD_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
USD_JPYTrade Balance53JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.182353053510120.61027777777778
-80 pips0.196049769680810.61829545454545
-90 pips0.330789568393180.62402494331066
-100 pips0.443136850976210.59541950113379
+110 pips0.511050611849560.58370867768595
CHF_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
GBP_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.890130089364440.60707465277778
AUD_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.28577870114950.57953125
+110 pips0.875024500630010.57236111111111
+140 pips0.50382284607830.60042534722222
EUR_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.959932401619860.57065082644628
NZD_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0853767370189670.58486979166667
-70 pips0.112748191281310.60608695652174
-80 pips0.0858244098464240.58196597353497
CAD_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.162869254373890.57823347107438
-80 pips0.441697621242870.58909262759924
-90 pips0.199634493920040.57413223140496
-100 pips0.3187953291850.60303719008264
USD_JPYAll Industries Activity m/m48JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.88036692537720.66134920634921
+100 pips0.637406581844220.64933884297521
-110 pips0.308569679494940.5915595463138
-120 pips0.221917393818550.64904958677686
CHF_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.760080024509370.6000826446281
+90 pips0.73073537062670.57120181405896
GBP_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.577436217339680.59051984877127
+140 pips0.863673541837860.58573347107438
+150 pips0.830019003821280.61548752834467
+160 pips0.898323393308410.58887396694215
+190 pips0.903584690801960.62464876033058
+200 pips0.930165436642070.59151859504132
AUD_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
EUR_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.142264114661180.58162326388889
-50 pips0.166354997565390.62144097222222
-90 pips0.257520687365220.5897258979206
-170 pips0.330810994867420.60026465028355
-180 pips0.357042431849620.58336776859504
NZD_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
CAD_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.5548695518370.57048611111111
-70 pips0.254827373525220.57183673469388
USD_JPYNational Core CPI y/y29JPY
CHF_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.987403594925790.57213333333333
GBP_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.888549219459630.61697777777778
-80 pips0.0344360591433340.57031111111111
AUD_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
EUR_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
NZD_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
CAD_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
USD_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI29JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.878822143171280.61942222222222
+70 pips0.883240963438140.61153333333333
+90 pips0.630574076150960.57586666666667
+100 pips0.91429748164970.66711111111111
+110 pips0.980032355224890.58102222222222
+120 pips0.988678027271750.58846666666667
+130 pips0.980744858642130.5822
+140 pips0.890925858562970.62057777777778
+150 pips0.817879017908110.57764444444444
GBP_JPYAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.351712660628610.61097353497164
-90 pips0.202762344782310.61245746691871
-100 pips0.107900539068620.57322916666667
-110 pips0.114705009817150.607421875
-120 pips0.183085864014530.61529513888889
-130 pips0.131552616627940.62050347222222
+140 pips0.739061908015850.646171875
+150 pips0.765256474379880.60655381944444
+160 pips0.839498256083240.63834593572779
+170 pips0.824320817930330.62504340277778
+180 pips0.677458261346850.61788279773157
+190 pips0.792643520067760.67832703213611
+200 pips0.733719303923650.59143667296786
GBP_NZDAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.197458920022960.61303719008264
GBP_USDAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.432104496123010.57298611111111
+150 pips0.580664171040470.58537326388889
-200 pips0.493270012663710.58149305555556
EUR_GBPAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.698132030369910.58817148760331
GBP_AUDAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.633432830726760.60762396694215
+50 pips0.659202270522420.62961247637051
+80 pips0.825842863351740.57381944444444
+150 pips0.684237152900760.57944234404537
GBP_CADAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.350297179835420.5754820415879
GBP_CHFAverage Earnings Index 3m/y92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.518518824279760.59733459357278
+130 pips0.64591819964050.63006802721088
GBP_JPYClaimant Count Change92GBP
GBP_NZDClaimant Count Change92GBP
GBP_USDClaimant Count Change92GBP
EUR_GBPClaimant Count Change92GBP
GBP_AUDClaimant Count Change92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.136933913645430.68611570247934
GBP_CADClaimant Count Change92GBP
GBP_CHFClaimant Count Change92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.55957996649660.5769387755102
GBP_JPYUnemployment Rate92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.151158462778740.59909262759924
-100 pips0.097112862729230.61747395833333
-110 pips0.0960521003485980.59112847222222
GBP_NZDUnemployment Rate92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.575265637209550.60319214876033
-180 pips0.255356464843220.57798185941043
GBP_USDUnemployment Rate92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.841678215770320.57823784722222
+200 pips0.79380890440490.60169270833333
EUR_GBPUnemployment Rate92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.162552681784250.5903625
-110 pips0.200925339896570.5779875
GBP_AUDUnemployment Rate92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.645822763563040.61183884297521
+50 pips0.61560393533460.6256427221172
+60 pips0.73216913184080.59588541666667
+100 pips0.777282488803630.63545368620038
GBP_CADUnemployment Rate92GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.834187661971670.60743856332703
GBP_CHFUnemployment Rate92GBP
GBP_JPYPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.732613584510980.57267485822306
GBP_NZDPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.417375392821680.57345804988662
-170 pips0.369351953395040.58925170068027
-180 pips0.418910641556650.58324263038549
-190 pips0.42101924625660.64425
GBP_USDPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.435717984408250.62787326388889
-100 pips0.356298796884210.57740451388889
EUR_GBPPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
GBP_AUDPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.499343750993860.5775236294896
GBP_CADPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
GBP_CHFPublic Sector Net Borrowing68GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.580530043052040.59396694214876
-100 pips0.459517983634980.62938563327032
-110 pips0.420933021537680.58152173913043
-130 pips0.351260845371360.58745746691871
-140 pips0.194119859052730.57507561436673
GBP_JPYCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
GBP_NZDCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
GBP_USDCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
EUR_GBPCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.844679891283240.62554421768707
+130 pips0.890061713236990.59899092970522
+140 pips0.872922140195150.62903925619835
+150 pips0.859520914839210.61254132231405
+160 pips0.816566145462710.6452741020794
+170 pips0.875102839497770.67599826388889
+180 pips0.860081718560950.65846354166667
+190 pips0.874771767820090.64313799621928
-200 pips0.259193712913710.64468809073724
GBP_AUDCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
GBP_CADCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
GBP_CHFCBI Industrial Order Expectations66GBP
GBP_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
GBP_NZDFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
GBP_USDFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
EUR_GBPFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
GBP_AUDFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
GBP_CADFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
GBP_CHFFlash Manufacturing PMI20GBP
GBP_JPYFlash Services PMI20GBP
GBP_NZDFlash Services PMI20GBP
GBP_USDFlash Services PMI20GBP
EUR_GBPFlash Services PMI20GBP
GBP_AUDFlash Services PMI20GBP
GBP_CADFlash Services PMI20GBP
GBP_CHFFlash Services PMI20GBP
EUR_NZDCPI q/q32NZD
GBP_NZDCPI q/q32NZD
AUD_NZDCPI q/q32NZD
NZD_CADCPI q/q32NZD
NZD_CHFCPI q/q32NZD
NZD_JPYCPI q/q32NZD
NZD_USDCPI q/q32NZD
EUR_NZDGerman PPI m/m167EUR
EUR_AUDGerman PPI m/m167EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.464902550637250.58186983471074
EUR_CADGerman PPI m/m167EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-170 pips0.26019945577020.57362811791383
-180 pips0.346574744169150.61196145124717
EUR_CHFGerman PPI m/m167EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.261978964344770.57603298611111
-170 pips0.105736491807140.5840022675737
-190 pips0.135699254628420.57514462809917
EUR_USDGerman PPI m/m167EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.212514893487070.5859640831758
-60 pips0.189068641674780.57495659722222
-80 pips0.185176707221860.62291115311909
-110 pips0.287993615431450.60163223140496
EUR_GBPGerman PPI m/m167EUR
EUR_JPYGerman PPI m/m167EUR
EUR_NZDGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_AUDGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_CADGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_CHFGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_USDGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_GBPGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.886127598430760.60055555555556
EUR_JPYGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.101927694389240.58637996219282
-170 pips0.476680732814760.57521541950113
EUR_NZDZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_AUDZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_CADZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.153971493444480.59932892249527
+80 pips0.563283393286320.58306238185255
-90 pips0.331299767155820.63171487603306
+140 pips0.529133368227610.59454545454545
+150 pips0.560619159559370.60638941398866
+160 pips0.866357052980870.57256143667297
EUR_CHFZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_USDZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
EUR_GBPZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.824139708681190.58434917355372
+160 pips0.753733916901350.60606404958678
+170 pips0.661339797605520.61890022675737
+180 pips0.754612887444940.59336734693878
+190 pips0.754612887444940.59591836734694
+200 pips0.713115421129490.60644628099174
EUR_JPYZEW Economic Sentiment92EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.127403658107180.57942344045369
EUR_NZDMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
EUR_AUDMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.843403027140410.57180555555556
+50 pips0.782076539298070.5707756232687
+130 pips0.807686305024350.59895691609977
+140 pips0.870253773070090.615325
+150 pips0.858696949498680.61335180055402
+200 pips0.858440356917420.59257617728532
EUR_CADMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.321805056838570.57259297520661
EUR_CHFMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.120260265728540.59333333333333
-140 pips0.142689782632470.62903628117914
-150 pips0.149714362730340.5953125
-160 pips0.127714968978050.59495
EUR_USDMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
EUR_GBPMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
EUR_JPYMain Refinancing Rate41EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.850176948509160.59493197278912
+150 pips0.881129661093570.58210884353741
+180 pips0.837092332039980.5793625
EUR_NZDConsumer Confidence39EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.313997790213760.59006616257089
-170 pips0.339842458627460.57069444444444
EUR_AUDConsumer Confidence39EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.862941540048690.59546006944444
+140 pips0.871466879567440.60463137996219
+150 pips0.842703628769790.59705729166667
+160 pips0.820882574807910.64440972222222
+170 pips0.828021740740820.57231770833333
EUR_CADConsumer Confidence39EUR
EUR_CHFConsumer Confidence39EUR
EUR_USDConsumer Confidence39EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.096128470306710.5991632231405
-70 pips0.0706031323341480.59202268431002
-80 pips0.363314044080230.58254340277778
-90 pips0.103524064263480.59111979166667
-130 pips0.329218986918970.59215277777778
EUR_GBPConsumer Confidence39EUR
EUR_JPYConsumer Confidence39EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.83470724421440.57579861111111
-180 pips0.29627023565660.57350694444444
EUR_NZDFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.456716270658310.65388888888889
+70 pips0.586004336331010.66034013605442
+80 pips0.65510144740320.62359504132231
+100 pips0.73295985281790.60772727272727
+110 pips0.720089324085160.61114669421488
+120 pips0.851788166823870.59487603305785
+130 pips0.900628011319070.59002066115702
+150 pips0.818360613773340.57148760330579
+180 pips0.817908107170980.60507231404959
EUR_AUDFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.230285435574290.58862603305785
EUR_CADFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.667213051544450.58230103806228
+50 pips0.565344591593170.59978515625
-150 pips0.155097729692380.58952380952381
EUR_CHFFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_USDFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.699258069965440.5784487534626
+70 pips0.676833355591060.58851239669421
-170 pips0.278538621935290.57697314049587
-180 pips0.165995292748520.57542355371901
EUR_GBPFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.838826649636170.60365079365079
+50 pips0.75257605711480.61667590027701
EUR_NZDFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.845171397521750.62935950413223
+90 pips0.791844443418520.57095238095238
+100 pips0.669562965897920.57002066115702
+120 pips0.756303059025660.59232438016529
EUR_AUDFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
EUR_CADFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.531530011063630.57097222222222
EUR_CHFFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
EUR_USDFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.838901549709580.60643598615917
+50 pips0.797557357015930.58008310249307
EUR_GBPFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Flash Manufacturing PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.285291333168260.64193905817175
EUR_NZDGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-170 pips0.348283455385160.61342403628118
+180 pips0.875753782281490.62310657596372
EUR_AUDGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_CADGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_USDGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_GBPGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.501020927479110.59093425605536
EUR_JPYGerman Flash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.371476129947130.57824263038549
-140 pips0.27103272931910.57200413223141
-150 pips0.213192661460630.61928719008264
-160 pips0.279254690193420.60822314049587
-170 pips0.389009653088840.59460317460317
-180 pips0.218195615469030.61388888888889
-200 pips0.237374756040830.58862603305785
EUR_NZDGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.525406880014060.57178004535147
EUR_AUDGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_CADGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_USDGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_GBPGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Flash Services PMI22EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.70992052388450.58969008264463
+160 pips0.762248603570110.59311983471074
+170 pips0.536306396992510.59272108843537
+180 pips0.7986587418830.61587301587302
+190 pips0.664655192372240.60328512396694
+200 pips0.689542812989370.66011363636364
EUR_NZDFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.950064921547580.58754253308129
+140 pips0.926674799467330.57615311909263
+150 pips0.904091061605770.57692816635161
+160 pips0.946740956542650.58360537190083
+170 pips0.933493251547850.57243801652893
EUR_AUDFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_CADFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.915238765252970.58478305785124
+180 pips0.692958988676780.60697542533081
+190 pips0.776027563423350.59004725897921
+200 pips0.578886118882470.59163516068053
EUR_CHFFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_USDFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_GBPFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
EUR_JPYFlash Manufacturing PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.318118703106610.57603305785124
-190 pips0.211796903772880.59050619834711
-200 pips0.373875158040590.58759924385633
EUR_NZDFlash Services PMI21EUR
EUR_AUDFlash Services PMI21EUR
EUR_CADFlash Services PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.82588534402610.58154320987654
+70 pips0.848673642515480.60942906574394
EUR_CHFFlash Services PMI21EUR
EUR_USDFlash Services PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.656685598882180.57239130434783
EUR_GBPFlash Services PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.408137955752290.60612654320988
EUR_JPYFlash Services PMI21EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.794822662586690.61748582230624
+170 pips0.798743715909570.58357438016529
+180 pips0.861615833589290.60512396694215
+190 pips0.785133896455490.60203512396694
EUR_NZDBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
EUR_AUDBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
EUR_CADBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.919439022894710.5787641723356
+130 pips0.778192198217470.60934895833333
+140 pips0.544081391022950.57989603024575
-150 pips0.289558691125970.57051984877127
+180 pips0.502191976142730.57646701388889
EUR_CHFBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.342594561803760.575546875
EUR_USDBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
EUR_GBPBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.811737933688460.6284404536862
+100 pips0.562619500710440.5981190926276
+110 pips0.59014881508340.66259637188209
+120 pips0.65528399294120.63055
+130 pips0.609895228161550.61983379501385
+140 pips0.693255941899320.6257
+160 pips0.744091033229820.58535123966942
EUR_JPYBelgian NBB Business Climate16EUR
AUD_CADManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.215234567979470.5770867768595
-130 pips0.210178824291190.57954545454545
-150 pips0.209097311463730.58002835538752
-160 pips0.156285658897880.57229678638941
-180 pips0.430963234115280.58095463137996
-190 pips0.376702065307250.57157986111111
-200 pips0.230962443959080.57513888888889
USD_CADManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
EUR_CADManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
NZD_CADManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
CAD_CHFManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
GBP_CADManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
CAD_JPYManufacturing Sales m/m89CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.650459652448220.5793572778828
AUD_CADCPI m/m65CAD
USD_CADCPI m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.844662095872560.57611111111111
EUR_CADCPI m/m65CAD
NZD_CADCPI m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.877668590072390.58735457063712
-130 pips0.476427693296910.57397727272727
CAD_CHFCPI m/m65CAD
GBP_CADCPI m/m65CAD
CAD_JPYCPI m/m65CAD
AUD_CADCommon CPI y/y65CAD
USD_CADCommon CPI y/y65CAD
EUR_CADCommon CPI y/y65CAD
NZD_CADCommon CPI y/y65CAD
CAD_CHFCommon CPI y/y65CAD
GBP_CADCommon CPI y/y65CAD
CAD_JPYCommon CPI y/y65CAD
AUD_CADMedian CPI y/y65CAD
USD_CADMedian CPI y/y65CAD
EUR_CADMedian CPI y/y65CAD
NZD_CADMedian CPI y/y65CAD
CAD_CHFMedian CPI y/y65CAD
GBP_CADMedian CPI y/y65CAD
CAD_JPYMedian CPI y/y65CAD
AUD_CADTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
USD_CADTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
EUR_CADTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
NZD_CADTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
CAD_CHFTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
GBP_CADTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
CAD_JPYTrimmed CPI y/y65CAD
AUD_CADNHPI m/m65CAD
USD_CADNHPI m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.52878354008810.58147569444444
EUR_CADNHPI m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.870225728748950.57211776859504
NZD_CADNHPI m/m65CAD
CAD_CHFNHPI m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.063800533829860.57048476454294
GBP_CADNHPI m/m65CAD
CAD_JPYNHPI m/m65CAD
AUD_CADWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
USD_CADWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.461584436778920.57100694444444
+110 pips0.54955147579290.59001736111111
+150 pips0.629050166725450.59434027777778
+160 pips0.549147432723830.57830729166667
+170 pips0.626405010332970.60467881944444
+180 pips0.704176363382080.59270321361059
-190 pips0.32207131651140.58095486111111
EUR_CADWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
NZD_CADWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
CAD_CHFWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
GBP_CADWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
CAD_JPYWholesale Sales m/m65CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.854727240757990.57820415879017
AUD_CADOvernight Rate64CAD
USD_CADOvernight Rate64CAD
EUR_CADOvernight Rate64CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.601632133588970.57282222222222
+50 pips0.770288061221840.61733333333333
+60 pips0.779109879851630.58173333333333
+70 pips0.866896774782320.59366666666667
+80 pips0.860968977079650.64857777777778
+90 pips0.772091374247810.60845703125
+100 pips0.823316517950730.573828125
NZD_CADOvernight Rate64CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.576226483591360.57642222222222
CAD_CHFOvernight Rate64CAD
GBP_CADOvernight Rate64CAD
CAD_JPYOvernight Rate64CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0716155186852910.57911111111111
AUD_CADCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.328920197281310.60430056710775
USD_CADCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
EUR_CADCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
NZD_CADCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.627377685053780.62978298611111
+90 pips0.601787019147380.61296786389414
+100 pips0.691592374778190.65185255198488
+110 pips0.698407450847980.66812854442344
+120 pips0.712246142275610.65521701388889
+130 pips0.557665919015180.592890625
+140 pips0.651140134428210.57491493383743
+150 pips0.725966280960710.59367674858223
+160 pips0.796083627684430.62091145833333
-170 pips0.306531627590320.62509548611111
-180 pips0.292017395870560.63058159722222
+190 pips0.549653453611630.60232638888889
-200 pips0.42735729396620.65743923611111
CAD_CHFCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
GBP_CADCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
CAD_JPYCore Retail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.232931976342510.58933159722222
AUD_CADRetail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.196853731232360.58355034722222
-80 pips0.092902728124520.64396030245747
-100 pips0.0684633492410420.59089792060491
-110 pips0.068202535181250.60183364839319
-150 pips0.088272066848280.57122933884298
USD_CADRetail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.263396036687490.58105902777778
-60 pips0.367045134476740.57503472222222
+200 pips0.6705418907220.58722222222222
EUR_CADRetail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.324100072062010.60508680555556
NZD_CADRetail Sales m/m17CAD
CAD_CHFRetail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.753451929652020.57322306238185
GBP_CADRetail Sales m/m17CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.593728428723110.57379132231405
CAD_JPYRetail Sales m/m17CAD
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Currency Pair Average Probability Average Barrier Weekly Technical Heatmap Weekly News Heatmap Direction
EUR_AUD0.719292 pips
Buy
GBP_CAD0.717495 pips
Buy
AUD_CHF0.674985 pips
Sell
EUR_GBP0.6550 pips
mismatch
GBP_AUD0.624753 pips
mismatch
GBP_JPY0.621164 pips
Sell
EUR_CHF0.612750 pips
mismatch
EUR_USD0.603946 pips
mismatch
CHF0.5897NoneNone
None
EUR0.5651NoneNone
None
CHF_JPY0.562813 pips
mismatch
EUR_NZD0.555327 pips
Buy
USD_CAD0.54168 pips
Buy
NZD_CAD0.54089 pips
Sell
AUD_CAD0.534317 pips
mismatch
EUR_CAD0.53248 pips
Buy
GBP0.4815NoneNone
None
AUD_USD0.47617 pips
Sell
USD_JPY0.4667-9 pips
mismatch
USD0.4659NoneNone
None
AUD_JPY0.4617-26 pips
Sell
GBP_NZD0.4608-55 pips
Buy
CAD_JPY0.4479-28 pips
Sell
NZD_USD0.4478-31 pips
Sell
JPY0.4361NoneNone
None
CAD0.4131NoneNone
None
GBP_USD0.412-37 pips
mismatch
GBP_CHF0.4039-66 pips
mismatch
AUD0.4028NoneNone
None
CAD_CHF0.4001-29 pips
mismatch
NZD_CHF0.390210 pips
mismatch
USD_CHF0.3455-52 pips
mismatch
NZD_JPY0.341-69 pips
Sell
EUR_JPY0.3159-61 pips
Sell
AUD_NZD0.3071-96 pips
Sell
Last Update: 4192 hrs
Currency Pair Average Probability Average Barrier Weekly Technical Heatmap Weekly News Heatmap Direction
EUR_AUD0.719292 pips
Buy
GBP_CAD0.717495 pips
mismatch
AUD_CHF0.674985 pips
mismatch
EUR_GBP0.6550 pips
Buy
GBP_AUD0.624753 pips
Sell
GBP_JPY0.621164 pips
Sell
EUR_CHF0.612750 pips
mismatch
EUR_USD0.603946 pips
mismatch
CHF0.5897None
None
EUR0.5651None
None
CHF_JPY0.562813 pips
Sell
EUR_NZD0.555327 pips
Buy
USD_CAD0.54168 pips
Buy
NZD_CAD0.54089 pips
Sell
AUD_CAD0.534317 pips
Sell
EUR_CAD0.53248 pips
Buy
GBP0.4815None
None
AUD_USD0.47617 pips
Sell
USD_JPY0.4667-9 pips
mismatch
USD0.4659None
None
AUD_JPY0.4617-26 pips
Sell
GBP_NZD0.4608-55 pips
mismatch
CAD_JPY0.4479-28 pips
mismatch
NZD_USD0.4478-31 pips
Sell
JPY0.4361None
None
CAD0.4131None
None
GBP_USD0.412-37 pips
mismatch
GBP_CHF0.4039-66 pips
mismatch
AUD0.4028None
None
CAD_CHF0.4001-29 pips
mismatch
NZD_CHF0.390210 pips
Sell
USD_CHF0.3455-52 pips
mismatch
NZD_JPY0.341-69 pips
Sell
EUR_JPY0.3159-61 pips
Sell
AUD_NZD0.3071-96 pips
mismatch
Last Update: 4192 hrs

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By signing up you also have the option to let us trade your money for you as a managed account. We have our own proprietry trading algorithms that use QuantForexTrading API to make smart trading decisions to deliver a portfolio of profitable trading strategies.
Remove the uncertainty when trading live by thoroughly understanding the true historical performance of your trading strategy. Signals based on historic news releases are not easy to obtain with other trading platforms. We make it easy to backtest your strategy using our library of predictive signals based on news releases.
By basing your strategy on economic news rather than pure technical analysis, you have advantage of repeatable trade setups that are driven by market news rather than an arbitrary candlestick pattern. Strategies that incorporate current economic news into their trading plan benefit from a higher degree of predictability in market movement by following macro economic trends, leading to sustained long term profits. Market reaction to different kinds of economic news have a much more predictable outcome.
All of our predictive signals come with associated probabilities of market movement along with historical accuracy of the model that produced the prediction. This allows you to make smart trading decisions based on real world events that have a known association with a given market movement by reading current market macro economic data.