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Introduction

QuantForexTrading is the only quantitative analytical tool to analyze all news releases over the last week and make predictions regarding likely market movement over different price ranges. The tool does this by averaging large number of price predictions for different news releases for different forex pairs. The price predictions are made by looking at the forecasted, actual and previous reported value for an economic news release and considers the price movement since the news item was released.

Using advanced machine learning it is possible to predict whether a forex pair is underbought or oversold based on historic market reaction for a given news release over a given time period. Section Strategy Formulation gives a suggestion on how to build a profitable trading strategy around fundamental forex news predictions made by QuantForexTrading.


Averaging Price Predictions

As there are multiple news releases that effect a pair over any given time span, the tool will create a weighted average of each price prediction for all such news releases. Each price prediction is weighted by the probability of the price prediction and the historical accuracy of the model that made the price prediction.


Figure 1: Average Price Barrier

The above diagram shows the AUD_USD have an average price barrier of 94 pips (shown in blue box), meaning the AUD_USD pair is more likely to hit the top 94 pip barrier before the bottom 94 pip barrier.


Understanding News Heatmap

The news heatmap is designed to show price predictions over daily time ranges. This allows you to see probable price movements over different price ranges and different time frames. The news heatmap is constructed over a seven day time range, where the news release predictions are ordered top to bottom, so the most recent news release predictions are shown a the top of the heatmap. Consider the news heatmap for forex pair AUD_USD shown below in the blue box.

Figure 2: News Heatmap

We see over the shorter time range that the news released indicates a negative (red) market movement. However we see over the longer time frames the news released indicates a positive (green) market movement. Such scenarios indicate a conflicting set of news releases and we may wish to disregard such cases long term. Or if you were only trading on shorter time frames you would pay more attention to the most recent news releases. In this cases you would be biased towards selling on the shorter time frames and buying on the longer time frames for the AUD_USD pair.


Understanding Technical Heatmap

The technical heatmap is designed to show from a technical perspective when a pair is overbought or undersold. It does this by looking at the movement of a pair and comparing to historical movement over a given time frame. If the pair experiences a large positive movement when compared to the historical average over some time frame, then pair is considered overbought and therefore should be sold. Likewise if the pair experiences a large negative movement when compared to the historical average ove some time frame, the the pair is considered oversold and therfore should be bought.
Figure 3: Technical Heatmap

The above diagram shows the technical analysis for the AUD_USD in the blue box. We see for the AUD_USD that the pair is overbought on the shorter time frames (so sell) and oversold on the longer time frames (so buy). In this case, the technical analysis matches the fundamental news analysis for different time frames. If you were an intraday trader, you would be biased towards selling. If you wish to take a position over a longer time frame you would be biased towards buying.


Understanding Forex Pair Correlation

Currency pairs are highly correlated with one another meaning that certain currency pairs tend to move in the same direction (positive correlation) or they tend to move in opposite directions (negative correlation). To better understand currency pair correlation look at a currency pair correlation chart. QuantForexTrading uses currency correlation for fundamental news analysis and technical analysis by creating a weighted average of all currency pairs associated with the pair displayed. The weighted correlation analysis can be found in the Correlation Summary tab.

Figure 4: Currency Correlation

In the above diagram, we see that for the AUD_USD pair, the news heatmap when averaged with correlated pairs, tends to be overbought. This means that on average, the economic news for all pairs correlated with the AUD_USD pair tends to indicate a short selling position. The same is done for the technical analysis. In general it is better to look at the currency correlation summary when making a trading decision as it incorporates a larger number of price predictions.


Strategy Formulation

To better understand how you can use economic news release information in your trading, we will analyze a trading setup for the AUD_USD pair using a chart for the pair provided by Investing.com shown below. The chart in addition to showing price action also shows news releases for the pair shown as yellow circles.


Figure 5: Forex Chart Analysis

By looking at the news heatmap (shown below) for the AUD_USD pair, we know that on the longer time frames, the pair is biased towards a long position, but on the shorter time frames, the pair is biased towards selling. This is shown by the red and green arrows, in accordance with the news heatmap.


Figure 6: News Heatmap

In such conflicting cases where it may not be clear to place a long or short position, we can use a hedging strategy to capture both possible movements. To do this, we would place a short position with a stop (or trailing stop) above 0.7060 price point and a long position with a stop or trailing stop below 0.7010 price point. Trailing stops are generally preferred, as they better capture the upside of large positive price movements and require no take profit to be placed. Hence there is never a need to close out a position explicitly. They work particuarly well when using a hedging strategy as they better capture directional movements associated with news release momentum.

Currency Pair Description Hours Since Currency Barrier
USD_CADCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
GBP_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.998649994813410.5902479338843
+130 pips0.997819055178940.57918388429752
USD_CHFCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
EUR_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.00160985546866030.60890022675737
AUD_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
NZD_USDCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
USD_JPYCore PCE Price Index m/m92USD
USD_CADPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0724873474469110.57230902777778
GBP_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0718831313821180.578125
USD_CHFPersonal Spending m/m92USD
EUR_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.322205777639950.57199546485261
AUD_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
NZD_USDPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0170915004874730.60557851239669
-140 pips0.0253486012057740.61495867768595
-170 pips0.0604882075047010.594075
USD_JPYPersonal Spending m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.497883846127110.59176215277778
USD_CADPersonal Income m/m92USD
GBP_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0629357482551110.58455782312925
USD_CHFPersonal Income m/m92USD
EUR_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.0337313436615830.58219008264463
AUD_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
NZD_USDPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.973277664682210.59413043478261
USD_JPYPersonal Income m/m92USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.909094478519860.57316840277778
USD_CADS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0846715731899880.5971694214876
-80 pips0.485652069591320.5789979338843
-90 pips0.0918174572725050.59552083333333
+130 pips0.685966353812920.58321180555556
-150 pips0.395214699851460.57327256944444
+160 pips0.506336266597890.59176215277778
-170 pips0.0660934793367520.62384548611111
-180 pips0.0680201170978190.60278645833333
-190 pips0.104110235280320.584296875
-200 pips0.36547039985830.57004340277778
GBP_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
USD_CHFS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0611464564016530.62433837429112
EUR_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0345017052725540.61078449905482
-80 pips0.053416434207280.58197542533081
-90 pips0.0544575930257190.57718336483932
-110 pips0.0514787761480910.57347222222222
-120 pips0.0556944367960130.607421875
-140 pips0.0401909621195920.59953993055556
+190 pips0.502082583083170.60198784722222
+200 pips0.531162486220630.58699652777778
AUD_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
NZD_USDS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
USD_JPYS&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.177840852357260.57875
-190 pips0.294241954695350.60675803402647
-200 pips0.297484009871630.58219281663516
USD_CADCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.113558945401620.58217881944444
GBP_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0614274693964070.5734404536862
USD_CHFCB Consumer Confidence91USD
EUR_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0793643733563880.57921550094518
AUD_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
NZD_USDCB Consumer Confidence91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.913978957099930.6275
+170 pips0.891112509259920.58745746691871
USD_JPYCB Consumer Confidence91USD
USD_CADPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.0700025062890690.59234375
-190 pips0.0761716313554480.57175347222222
GBP_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0694550850713060.58776859504132
-110 pips0.0675912753855590.6417458677686
-160 pips0.0437132789045230.57014739229025
USD_CHFPending Home Sales m/m91USD
EUR_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.912428407748080.58673611111111
+100 pips0.920414400107540.60512152777778
+110 pips0.851077439745070.58183159722222
+130 pips0.839955785372060.59487847222222
+140 pips0.851167612305270.58540798611111
+150 pips0.841145989735430.59872395833333
+160 pips0.833732272135220.59721354166667
+180 pips0.829162134739560.57937618147448
+190 pips0.865941881450320.59931001890359
+200 pips0.848201078078970.61035916824197
AUD_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.648769415115250.58442148760331
NZD_USDPending Home Sales m/m91USD
USD_JPYPending Home Sales m/m91USD
USD_CADADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
GBP_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
USD_CHFADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
EUR_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
AUD_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.742280446198770.5704958677686
+140 pips0.740978021503640.6173629489603
+150 pips0.775464277199780.590595463138
NZD_USDADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
USD_JPYADP Non-Farm Employment Change69USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.118911824243470.57405864197531
-90 pips0.151207132041190.58747922437673
USD_CADEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
GBP_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
USD_CHFEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
EUR_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
AUD_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
NZD_USDEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
USD_JPYEmployment Cost Index q/q68USD
USD_CADChicago PMI67USD
GBP_USDChicago PMI67USD
USD_CHFChicago PMI67USD
EUR_USDChicago PMI67USD
AUD_USDChicago PMI67USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.545636324439780.57757369614512
NZD_USDChicago PMI67USD
USD_JPYChicago PMI67USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.22341958225320.60190972222222
-120 pips0.0865360375612540.59560491493384
USD_CADCrude Oil Inventories67USD
GBP_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
USD_CHFCrude Oil Inventories67USD
EUR_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
AUD_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
NZD_USDCrude Oil Inventories67USD
USD_JPYCrude Oil Inventories67USD
USD_CADFederal Funds Rate63USD
GBP_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips3.6634410805534E-50.579
USD_CHFFederal Funds Rate63USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips4.9608436534456E-50.58556640625
-170 pips4.9608436534456E-50.579375
-190 pips5.0020348205542E-50.5854296875
EUR_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.999978984205280.60213333333333
+200 pips0.999977657644640.5928125
AUD_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
NZD_USDFederal Funds Rate63USD
USD_JPYFederal Funds Rate63USD
USD_CADUnemployment Claims45USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.101178110882390.5797052154195
GBP_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
USD_CHFUnemployment Claims45USD
EUR_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
AUD_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
NZD_USDUnemployment Claims45USD
USD_JPYUnemployment Claims45USD
USD_CADFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.969163783145090.61295555555556
+110 pips0.980351728810510.60384444444444
GBP_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.919221426868350.57171111111111
+60 pips0.983718617488340.68986666666667
+70 pips0.984222318541760.60348888888889
USD_CHFFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
EUR_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
AUD_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.845564105065540.57995555555556
NZD_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.282035109522040.60295555555556
+80 pips0.991074419760020.59722222222222
+90 pips0.991044353283470.63295555555556
+100 pips0.819134014261390.5884
-110 pips0.0288360320040380.60266666666667
-130 pips0.387268915106950.58117777777778
-160 pips0.0264472133290.59971111111111
-170 pips0.0257716957458540.62006666666667
-180 pips0.0176756537384280.64757777777778
-190 pips0.0176756537384280.633
-200 pips0.0216312563946430.65013333333333
USD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI44USD
USD_CADISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.924610134519830.57253472222222
GBP_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
USD_CHFISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
EUR_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.918674868872940.63116319444444
+70 pips0.911127288803050.57473534971645
AUD_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
NZD_USDISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0625602386671680.59502835538752
-90 pips0.0836512598096750.585
USD_JPYISM Manufacturing PMI44USD
USD_CADConstruction Spending m/m44USD
GBP_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
USD_CHFConstruction Spending m/m44USD
EUR_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
AUD_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
NZD_USDConstruction Spending m/m44USD
USD_JPYConstruction Spending m/m44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.0560377763718580.6192438563327
-130 pips0.0567876274204790.59246900826446
-160 pips0.0517686573503260.57770321361059
-170 pips0.0540452425929620.57083175803403
-190 pips0.0553459876319810.62526465028355
-200 pips0.0544116027380580.65447916666667
USD_CADISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
GBP_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
USD_CHFISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0881794696411150.5835847107438
-120 pips0.0830496591184410.57503472222222
-130 pips0.0849082221635830.57137396694215
EUR_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
AUD_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
NZD_USDISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.163410945127720.58455729166667
USD_JPYISM Manufacturing Prices44USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.118458352732170.64243856332703
-50 pips0.0922217631331230.61870867768595
-60 pips0.383439578539790.60702947845805
-70 pips0.071700287526760.59369565217391
-80 pips0.10866557746030.64254253308129
+90 pips0.779339419005660.58138020833333
+100 pips0.813190668695820.61510330578512
-110 pips0.0735983028742260.61276937618147
USD_CADNatural Gas Storage43USD
GBP_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
USD_CHFNatural Gas Storage43USD
EUR_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
AUD_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
NZD_USDNatural Gas Storage43USD
USD_JPYNatural Gas Storage43USD
USD_CADAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
GBP_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.015925776101060.587816
-140 pips0.0150640886270090.58209201388889
-160 pips0.00588395905842040.57444444444444
-180 pips0.0120351976427820.57672743055556
-190 pips0.0155086069766740.60446124763705
-200 pips0.00906997480321140.60318525519849
USD_CHFAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0123641315240810.579675
-140 pips0.384256717101640.62444214876033
-150 pips0.0159406528487850.64695247933884
-160 pips0.0818917513741030.58439049586777
-170 pips0.0118550501441010.62992063492063
-180 pips0.0177729423607360.60718820861678
EUR_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.494602373234370.57001890359168
AUD_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.937548868651630.57429752066116
+170 pips0.959108306005380.57519848771267
NZD_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.682206288573090.6061673553719
+70 pips0.659126985579440.59593572778828
+80 pips0.98360901165430.57220041322314
+90 pips0.984685418399460.58695247933884
+100 pips0.987770776111570.58465909090909
+110 pips0.994503623957840.62023760330579
+120 pips0.995921981585230.58530612244898
+140 pips0.99172997726210.58580498866213
USD_JPYAverage Hourly Earnings m/m22USD
USD_CADNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0848742853064750.5753213610586
GBP_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0789501839388810.592704
-130 pips0.0620891129846790.57560491493384
+150 pips0.637192551463430.595632
-160 pips0.463311435742210.60298611111111
+190 pips0.987346111200110.59595463137996
+200 pips0.912165368300240.61693761814745
USD_CHFNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.12397991093320.58379132231405
EUR_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
AUD_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.115155245125230.58885330578512
+130 pips0.636283526381690.60848140495868
+140 pips0.7421440850590.57014177693762
-150 pips0.116561990447130.59637051039698
NZD_USDNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
USD_JPYNon-Farm Employment Change22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.0499843555068160.589325
-140 pips0.0613098762685510.61765927977839
-150 pips0.0562228182680320.5744459833795
-160 pips0.0546124264718530.63623268698061
USD_CADUnemployment Rate22USD
GBP_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0132789541340840.57461805555556
-120 pips0.0146772427925420.57616
-130 pips0.00697308402768750.57
-160 pips0.00862998263794630.57769965277778
USD_CHFUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.919060466919520.60956611570248
EUR_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0157055287859950.58719954648526
-60 pips0.0170977723617250.58713842975207
AUD_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.507063797766650.63385487528345
-60 pips0.496513910309030.57048553719008
NZD_USDUnemployment Rate22USD
USD_JPYUnemployment Rate22USD
USD_CADTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.285422244919150.57409262759924
GBP_USDTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.107780398952030.574125
USD_CHFTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.958430872751150.57110586011342
+190 pips0.956815515098110.61025519848771
EUR_USDTrade Balance22USD
AUD_USDTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.942043532486220.592
NZD_USDTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.958494209020660.5926843100189
USD_JPYTrade Balance22USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.114663864842240.59461247637051
-90 pips0.0662114495688280.59580578512397
-100 pips0.0821925047215770.60631379962193
-130 pips0.0611860068785880.59620867768595
USD_CADRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
GBP_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
USD_CHFRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
EUR_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.877500089493510.60327479338843
AUD_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0803464829157070.57530381944444
NZD_USDRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
USD_JPYRevised UoM Consumer Sentiment21USD
USD_CADFactory Orders m/m21USD
GBP_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.929826369232950.58827032136106
USD_CHFFactory Orders m/m21USD
EUR_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.0486023159644450.61915798611111
AUD_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
NZD_USDFactory Orders m/m21USD
USD_JPYFactory Orders m/m21USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.842832854218810.57328125
+140 pips0.938334887812690.58334593572779
AUD_CADCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CHFCPI q/q81AUD
EUR_AUDCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_JPYCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_NZDCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_USDCPI q/q81AUD
GBP_AUDCPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CADTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CHFTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
EUR_AUDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_JPYTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_NZDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_USDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
GBP_AUDTrimmed Mean CPI q/q81AUD
AUD_CADPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
AUD_CHFPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
EUR_AUDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.883441764570640.60278645833333
AUD_JPYPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.788360550922170.58783553875236
+90 pips0.796896121587720.59709710743802
+110 pips0.791814724425820.58755198487713
+140 pips0.614624108445790.57050094517958
AUD_NZDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0273345988829420.58181474480151
-140 pips0.0298338836445030.60447845804989
-150 pips0.0283653877875880.57641723356009
-190 pips0.032287417503090.59507231404959
-200 pips0.0662564991954340.58017561983471
AUD_USDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
GBP_AUDPrivate Sector Credit m/m81AUD
AUD_CADImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_CHFImport Prices q/q58AUD
EUR_AUDImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_JPYImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_NZDImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_USDImport Prices q/q58AUD
GBP_AUDImport Prices q/q58AUD
AUD_CADRetail Sales m/m34AUD
AUD_CHFRetail Sales m/m34AUD
EUR_AUDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
AUD_JPYRetail Sales m/m34AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0374091581262370.59048553719008
+140 pips0.902216569945260.600192
AUD_NZDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.952024393559520.61078993055556
+190 pips0.651717008192620.57253099173554
AUD_USDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
GBP_AUDRetail Sales m/m34AUD
AUD_CADPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_CHFPPI q/q34AUD
EUR_AUDPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_JPYPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_NZDPPI q/q34AUD
AUD_USDPPI q/q34AUD
GBP_AUDPPI q/q34AUD
CHF_JPYKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.970251252827550.57325520833333
+80 pips0.910162665663350.60498109640832
-90 pips0.0776992373571860.57170138888889
-100 pips0.0986476712946170.64246527777778
AUD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
USD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
EUR_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0942946013331260.58150283553875
NZD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0367818157220120.57187145557656
CAD_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0518474564083210.61503472222222
-130 pips0.106237646450240.57368055555556
-140 pips0.0396923974884970.59868055555556
-150 pips0.0417109358734360.58347826086957
-170 pips0.0462419427450550.59530991735537
-180 pips0.0435368365930040.59385487528345
-190 pips0.118515284898540.58497732426304
-200 pips0.173593490202960.61189049586777
GBP_CHFKOF Economic Barometer100CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.103942810828650.5815875
+140 pips0.642161487968760.58785318559557
CHF_JPYCPI m/m29CHF
AUD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.941373596146190.586175
USD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0253166117519250.60650173611111
-60 pips0.0634085461795220.61580498866213
-70 pips0.137383238995030.5742875
-90 pips0.0541212469999440.5945625
-110 pips0.0299538208427150.58843490304709
EUR_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.393778634198190.60593572778828
NZD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.970934530922240.61005671077505
CAD_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.986991640235830.63417233560091
+140 pips0.966935886596660.59886621315193
+150 pips0.965605866902590.60294784580499
+160 pips0.966342754936860.58979591836735
GBP_CHFCPI m/m29CHF
CHF_JPYManufacturing PMI28CHF
AUD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
USD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
EUR_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
NZD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0552584039709320.59518229166667
-50 pips0.0749701228949450.60664930555556
-60 pips0.0747701355837870.57273156899811
CAD_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-170 pips0.065799832593650.57838541666667
GBP_CHFManufacturing PMI28CHF
CHF_JPYSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
AUD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
USD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
EUR_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
NZD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
CAD_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
GBP_CHFSECO Consumer Climate6CHF
CHF_JPYRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.236005159668660.61751736111111
AUD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0588692228000950.57368620037807
+50 pips0.588059092726660.58824380165289
+60 pips0.717242411302130.63063368055556
+70 pips0.655051611507750.5738326446281
+100 pips0.787192198991990.57125
+110 pips0.706347194921870.60547520661157
+120 pips0.720369687255530.57623966942149
USD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.110864136305410.58484126984127
EUR_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.919224910649590.59861111111111
NZD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.85027038878980.57830729166667
CAD_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0396931757406210.60982993197279
-60 pips0.0672026193758480.60893424036281
-90 pips0.105536160571890.57425347222222
GBP_CHFRetail Sales y/y5CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.397439487231140.57635734072022
CHF_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.941925104819130.57328254847645
+50 pips0.972168685377940.59771626297578
+60 pips0.943986860882390.58166089965398
+150 pips0.923929456810560.57114958448753
GBP_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.944757573617390.58238185255198
+130 pips0.943481848699440.60283553875236
+140 pips0.958260399877320.6496786389414
+160 pips0.955420849448120.57691871455577
+170 pips0.918061147648470.5897258979206
+200 pips0.907897129020340.57121900826446
AUD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.155673645346120.59882716049383
EUR_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.852635421988270.57236111111111
NZD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.570023557319480.59484504132231
+190 pips0.527529921565370.61035916824197
+200 pips0.566660777589650.58052930056711
CAD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.919445341169190.57678638941399
USD_JPYConsumer Confidence79JPY
CHF_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.108135823165330.58096354166667
-100 pips0.221156174843840.57896825396825
GBP_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
AUD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.947577259504610.61686200378072
+50 pips0.946821696104580.59184027777778
-120 pips0.0790940823923580.58104914933837
-130 pips0.234803785866210.57626654064272
-140 pips0.338654312585370.59390625
-150 pips0.0866406813244580.63061436672968
-160 pips0.338381799435750.58914933837429
EUR_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
NZD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.124730879658320.58337673611111
+160 pips0.578741214264810.57753308128544
+190 pips0.897111232112310.60414930555556
CAD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.941443446693160.58296786389414
+140 pips0.917814370162920.60600189035917
-160 pips0.105739769024240.57552951388889
-180 pips0.12276528604090.57013020833333
USD_JPYHousing Starts y/y79JPY
CHF_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
GBP_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.00643506514544880.57635555555556
-160 pips0.00465753665782170.5882
AUD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
EUR_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.199492432938280.60088888888889
NZD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
CAD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.334030359605790.57351111111111
USD_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI59JPY
CHF_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
GBP_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
AUD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
EUR_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
NZD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
CAD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
USD_JPYMonetary Base y/y36JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.942625869797490.57159722222222
+140 pips0.932639882611260.576832
+160 pips0.922674768321970.57334710743802
+180 pips0.920730959716280.59098958333333
GBP_JPYGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_NZDGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.956743080542150.570864
GBP_USDGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.855931694877170.57030991735537
+90 pips0.95285781426990.58868620037807
+100 pips0.924479774587240.59607638888889
+110 pips0.927956856744650.62269097222222
-170 pips0.024130755582710.64185950413223
-200 pips0.0271721020540570.58397727272727
EUR_GBPGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_AUDGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_CADGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0562266491874430.59707756232687
-100 pips0.0525434662333980.5827625
+160 pips0.960059655133490.58242214532872
+200 pips0.932583640277780.58106404958678
GBP_CHFGfK Consumer Confidence85GBP
GBP_JPYNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0463935645855920.57990548204159
GBP_NZDNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_USDNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0637277743940550.61655381944444
-100 pips0.0432414108110320.58382797731569
-110 pips0.040051438339640.60796006944444
-120 pips0.0393170314770020.58402646502836
-130 pips0.0370465821377640.61503780718336
-140 pips0.0463257508097980.57536862003781
EUR_GBPNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_AUDNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_CADNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_CHFNationwide HPI m/m78GBP
GBP_JPYManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_NZDManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_USDManufacturing PMI52GBP
EUR_GBPManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_AUDManufacturing PMI52GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0613778203758720.57105034722222
-60 pips0.0646303804981280.57857638888889
GBP_CADManufacturing PMI52GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.947346075306110.59497732426304
+130 pips0.936450318934280.58869806094183
GBP_CHFManufacturing PMI52GBP
GBP_JPYMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_NZDMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_USDMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
EUR_GBPMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.99249186018680.57063711911357
+150 pips0.993750581529440.57752077562327
+160 pips0.993778491671570.57054016620499
GBP_AUDMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_CADMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_CHFMPC Official Bank Rate Votes49GBP
GBP_JPYOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_NZDOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_USDOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
EUR_GBPOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_AUDOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_CADOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_CHFOfficial Bank Rate49GBP
GBP_JPYAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_NZDAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_USDAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
EUR_GBPAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_AUDAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_CADAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_CHFAsset Purchase Facility50GBP
GBP_JPYMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_NZDMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_USDMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.996678465289980.57003086419753
EUR_GBPMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_AUDMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_CADMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.99139918876460.57966049382716
+180 pips0.99150828849110.61389273356401
+190 pips0.999560818800150.58185185185185
GBP_CHFMPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes50GBP
GBP_JPYConstruction PMI28GBP
GBP_NZDConstruction PMI28GBP
GBP_USDConstruction PMI28GBP
EUR_GBPConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0967810228553110.5726625
-170 pips0.0730297078694170.59578231292517
-180 pips0.094716232470110.59651859504132
GBP_AUDConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.94121774522710.58613421550095
+90 pips0.944749568021050.59059027777778
+110 pips0.932092188027080.58694214876033
+120 pips0.938587533170690.59792517006803
+140 pips0.935420349999460.58600907029478
+150 pips0.874562562106790.579225
GBP_CADConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.905898934186420.59714285714286
GBP_CHFConstruction PMI28GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.61561886134270.57743856332703
GBP_JPYServices PMI4GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.875805713823360.60986394557823
+120 pips0.941167590963530.57108033240997
GBP_NZDServices PMI4GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.944297120304980.5823629489603
GBP_USDServices PMI4GBP
EUR_GBPServices PMI4GBP
GBP_AUDServices PMI4GBP
GBP_CADServices PMI4GBP
GBP_CHFServices PMI4GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0448936234757320.5917625
-180 pips0.0682190356343760.59292060491493
-190 pips0.0702387551164150.58082644628099
AUD_CADGDP m/m72CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.978424869658870.59425347222222
USD_CADGDP m/m72CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.934530393266250.58935950413223
EUR_CADGDP m/m72CAD
NZD_CADGDP m/m72CAD
CAD_CHFGDP m/m72CAD
GBP_CADGDP m/m72CAD
CAD_JPYGDP m/m72CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.0696296842327050.58197542533081
AUD_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.940570975499210.60357438016529
+110 pips0.939925743134780.58625868055556
+120 pips0.938281239266580.57565217391304
+130 pips0.931956677106880.60538752362949
+140 pips0.934373145691010.58811631944444
+150 pips0.939067633083030.60030245746692
USD_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
EUR_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
NZD_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.068429179998580.58997933884298
CAD_CHFRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.943823256319830.59572048611111
+50 pips0.938458732584780.58114366729679
GBP_CADRMPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0863113781527690.57910590277778
CAD_JPYRMPI m/m73CAD
AUD_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.947743030780020.610625
+110 pips0.942611957891510.57494791666667
USD_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.902588547237880.58274305555556
+150 pips0.898644355588350.57741319444444
+170 pips0.896053642022620.62899305555556
+180 pips0.956112829424110.62559895833333
+190 pips0.954851899392090.57383680555556
EUR_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
NZD_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
CAD_CHFIPPI m/m73CAD
GBP_CADIPPI m/m73CAD
CAD_JPYIPPI m/m73CAD
AUD_CADTrade Balance25CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0806406072961160.5836375
+80 pips0.913916814254730.61105
USD_CADTrade Balance25CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.895429354670950.57799479166667
EUR_CADTrade Balance25CAD
NZD_CADTrade Balance25CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.947529813002460.59572778827977
-170 pips0.129135943569980.645
-180 pips0.121407298327940.58734404536862
CAD_CHFTrade Balance25CAD
GBP_CADTrade Balance25CAD
CAD_JPYTrade Balance25CAD
EUR_NZDFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_CADFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_USDFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Flash GDP q/q104EUR
EUR_NZDGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.972992550835620.57
EUR_AUDGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0384886174486370.57253968253968
EUR_CADGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.570429164472990.5913988657845
-130 pips0.175960803415880.58882797731569
-170 pips0.160866044759420.61260869565217
-180 pips0.154108811952520.61623966942149
-200 pips0.228633791227130.60801512287335
EUR_CHFGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.860430083451290.5911247637051
+70 pips0.771129136306680.59453686200378
+80 pips0.738399628236970.62780381944444
+100 pips0.835738526320440.58688368055556
+140 pips0.538761235026090.60060950413223
EUR_USDGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.969835136996450.57547743055556
EUR_GBPGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
EUR_JPYGerman GfK Consumer Climate103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0409201697795320.58690926275992
EUR_NZDFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0567283046073710.58335538752363
-50 pips0.0805214261749440.63987603305785
-60 pips0.0463756136845430.58521541950113
-90 pips0.0418145967241210.65318525519849
-100 pips0.0611205405923610.63176748582231
-110 pips0.0283372521798430.58110537190083
-120 pips0.044882571650990.62340264650284
-130 pips0.0555246368707740.61865784499055
EUR_AUDFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_CADFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.348179160641590.60056710775047
-150 pips0.34493940619610.63168241965974
-160 pips0.404186136394630.62165406427221
-170 pips0.347955766668050.61232514177694
-180 pips0.34884876143830.6108034026465
-190 pips0.348752913117530.57555765595463
EUR_CHFFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0601418950870740.57917355371901
-50 pips0.0612501496128530.58766540642722
-60 pips0.0660892302826860.58165798611111
EUR_USDFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Consumer Spending m/m103EUR
EUR_NZDGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0470663662796560.59368923611111
-70 pips0.0284656772036880.6075236294896
-100 pips0.0673562359336650.57914933837429
EUR_AUDGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.916879295235850.5843537414966
+160 pips0.927139645570250.61743801652893
+170 pips0.93666699992020.61948979591837
+180 pips0.932681485312660.59316115702479
+190 pips0.922175424991550.5810847107438
+200 pips0.936012263533660.57527892561983
EUR_CADGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0409158553094740.60941398865785
-90 pips0.0397283392032170.60189035916824
EUR_CHFGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
EUR_USDGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.938281261890830.57203213610586
+140 pips0.940899348456950.58881198347107
+170 pips0.94112822734630.60703512396694
+180 pips0.937767758100920.60944214876033
+190 pips0.933403873077050.62488662131519
+200 pips0.923128062829910.59412698412698
EUR_GBPGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Retail Sales m/m80EUR
EUR_NZDFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_CADFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_USDFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Prelim CPI m/m79EUR
EUR_NZDSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_AUDSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_CADSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_CHFSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_USDSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_GBPSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_JPYSpanish Flash GDP q/q79EUR
EUR_NZDGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.880007255694640.60454631379962
+120 pips0.888204374137020.60497933884298
-150 pips0.349856457387470.58405482041588
+160 pips0.890236182485210.60238636363636
+170 pips0.900914441059990.58810950413223
+180 pips0.881131517527540.57739669421488
EUR_AUDGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.930857372390820.6024763705104
-60 pips0.222798919041630.60152354570637
EUR_CADGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_USDGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.922597816097730.60820415879017
+70 pips0.906513475642460.57809027777778
+80 pips0.90341413652520.61503472222222
+90 pips0.932300751831870.59423440453686
EUR_GBPGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Unemployment Change78EUR
EUR_NZDItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0551450175901740.57046875
+60 pips0.960292183666880.57946666666667
EUR_AUDItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
EUR_CADItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.04516213678890.58243827160494
-50 pips0.0494090451454940.57060185185185
EUR_CHFItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.324591738072540.59520761245675
-90 pips0.344079845199760.58846020761246
-100 pips0.343536056888680.58756055363322
-110 pips0.335338740423320.59878892733564
-120 pips0.33282473352290.62088235294118
-130 pips0.318887204112720.58657439446367
-150 pips0.32694706695230.57889273356401
-170 pips0.362438884221520.5716796875
EUR_USDItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.041714126030110.61256055363322
-120 pips0.0438062903171680.5716955017301
EUR_JPYItalian Monthly Unemployment Rate78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0431610446022930.6282421875
EUR_NZDCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_AUDCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_CADCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_CHFCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.847534180679760.57797743055556
-110 pips0.0383323086626740.60576388888889
-140 pips0.0390343195020440.58792060491493
EUR_USDCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.658698707254120.60176748582231
EUR_GBPCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.972299037443890.5954475308642
+50 pips0.976391884689130.5844125
+60 pips0.988752812103630.60364265927978
+70 pips0.991660345596620.62496598639456
+190 pips0.963387274371080.61570247933884
EUR_JPYCPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_NZDCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_AUDCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.993738626068580.57235555555556
+180 pips0.999877569758990.57882222222222
EUR_CADCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.983984830016320.58608888888889
+110 pips0.96955756063170.58411111111111
EUR_CHFCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_USDCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_GBPCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
EUR_JPYCore CPI Flash Estimate y/y77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0172659922593530.57175555555556
-160 pips0.0155196678536880.64191111111111
-170 pips0.00415736552092830.63542222222222
-180 pips0.00341030167092180.58993333333333
EUR_NZDItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0406500580069680.57535916824197
-80 pips0.0325641065313520.63792060491493
-90 pips0.0465211732535380.6026843100189
EUR_AUDItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.34333192016420.59348140495868
EUR_CADItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.390714989849270.59709829867675
+50 pips0.512932597420420.61778925619835
+60 pips0.56852509179880.61107438016529
EUR_CHFItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0158162977507520.59240451388889
-60 pips0.36096037798170.60740075614367
-70 pips0.433410833069680.58310763888889
+80 pips0.953813085398050.60973090277778
-90 pips0.0221507976216040.5874763705104
-100 pips0.019707438310080.58316840277778
-110 pips0.0142242426046550.60209829867675
+130 pips0.874886324782290.5998393194707
+140 pips0.838252035414740.5754347826087
EUR_USDItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.024999835380870.57256076388889
EUR_GBPItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.557556997216110.60454293628809
-130 pips0.359597513971570.62637119113573
-160 pips0.351662151393860.5887625
EUR_JPYItalian Prelim CPI m/m77EUR
EUR_NZDPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_AUDPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CADPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CHFPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_USDPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_GBPPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_JPYPrelim Flash GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_NZDUnemployment Rate77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.991063851614980.60782986111111
EUR_AUDUnemployment Rate77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0125121496792340.57316115702479
-110 pips0.00944291710843490.57815082644628
EUR_CADUnemployment Rate77EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.401925615112620.57696597353497
-110 pips0.338525935133080.61097505668934
-120 pips0.402346973225820.62070888468809
EUR_CHFUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_USDUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_GBPUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_JPYUnemployment Rate77EUR
EUR_NZDItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_AUDItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CADItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_USDItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_JPYItalian Prelim GDP q/q77EUR
EUR_NZDSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-200 pips0.0589320253561270.57831111111111
EUR_AUDSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.340290814055530.60951111111111
EUR_CADSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.975123216406570.58471111111111
+110 pips0.974411223908080.65435555555556
+120 pips0.974411223908080.64262222222222
+130 pips0.975851386693260.62528888888889
+140 pips0.931591737530120.61242222222222
EUR_CHFSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.0390592525194170.58575555555556
-90 pips0.0469229287381950.5876
-100 pips0.0446748108229580.5948
-110 pips0.0582696195387370.57906666666667
-120 pips0.361004685009610.57673333333333
-150 pips0.0350772999237620.60811111111111
-160 pips0.0404549615248980.62151111111111
-170 pips0.0404549615248980.61173333333333
EUR_USDSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0713217209093430.58442222222222
EUR_GBPSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_JPYSpanish Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0617699935087330.5736
EUR_NZDItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.938944875136190.600078125
+80 pips0.938302761283730.57827256944444
+90 pips0.944147725159670.61237240075614
+100 pips0.945914887880490.63202268431002
EUR_AUDItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CADItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.518079310711170.58948347107438
-170 pips0.296233146596360.58545351473923
EUR_CHFItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.896226602523970.57016
+80 pips0.9320048280040.584752
+90 pips0.946003225384480.63604166666667
+110 pips0.943315252787570.61964083175803
+120 pips0.945202053145960.58430056710775
+130 pips0.944900632168750.63060491493384
+140 pips0.94109105723830.63495274102079
+150 pips0.942111364978440.64023760330579
+160 pips0.941826441046150.61617768595041
+170 pips0.925034991268470.68702947845805
+180 pips0.92067250992390.6339152892562
+190 pips0.916926123527020.63439909297052
+200 pips0.919380742308580.66463718820862
EUR_USDItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0668244127398960.61971074380165
-120 pips0.0609181606138420.58199546485261
-170 pips0.0686214707344920.57278911564626
EUR_JPYItalian Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.115130481484190.59067148760331
-110 pips0.115473939423460.59159863945578
EUR_NZDFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.971569686366380.58654320987654
EUR_AUDFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.629410705597390.577525
EUR_CADFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.981760513407920.58782548476454
+140 pips0.980354397343030.586
+170 pips0.987426425974110.60347645429363
EUR_USDFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.747696564224460.588025
+90 pips0.948033821985650.61598765432099
+100 pips0.95934708734530.618175
+110 pips0.849898618125720.6009875
+120 pips0.969320325325860.60775
+130 pips0.808766882763750.63808390022676
+140 pips0.677123904723290.581025
+180 pips0.980648819654760.5701108033241
EUR_GBPFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0156009341693370.57256232686981
-70 pips0.0148978994486810.5847625
-160 pips0.0109303847362530.57601108033241
-170 pips0.0163420913097110.60904761904762
-180 pips0.0167833739591260.57022727272727
EUR_JPYFrench Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.016344790900260.58342105263158
-60 pips0.00725253249260830.59349030470914
-70 pips0.0290683869143410.6867728531856
-80 pips0.0677231027556910.61991349480969
-100 pips0.00126297896171640.59930555555556
-110 pips0.00541542168196470.60689814814815
-130 pips0.00841105215856330.5745524691358
-160 pips0.00615844197321570.57534626038781
-180 pips0.0394542822704780.699575
-190 pips0.00918345749137380.620925
EUR_NZDGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.981782393166190.58438775510204
+100 pips0.987483351452460.5841625
EUR_AUDGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0258846812114940.58668975069252
+170 pips0.982600976295350.574325
EUR_CADGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.98771533534580.5747619047619
+110 pips0.984192233856020.5919
+130 pips0.987361756122190.58835180055402
+140 pips0.979485179162320.607375
+150 pips0.970065613023940.58547091412742
+160 pips0.978349049345560.5998891966759
+170 pips0.97448859804990.61695290858726
+180 pips0.97232702344160.66595567867036
+190 pips0.97505430058320.63951523545706
+200 pips0.972218220809750.61506925207756
EUR_USDGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.987864904518560.5842
+70 pips0.992359776947970.580525
+80 pips0.984740266653950.60885041551247
+90 pips0.985277275462130.58453703703704
+170 pips0.977440171037820.57781163434903
+180 pips0.978516511534010.58573407202216
-200 pips0.354470886383950.570075
EUR_GBPGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0139447479598640.5779
-140 pips0.00622674597126850.5868836565097
-160 pips0.00659580196581350.60711911357341
-170 pips0.00591541564951180.65283446712018
-180 pips0.00642102335844240.6174173553719
-190 pips0.00661788788332030.59091836734694
-200 pips0.00572338231727950.59542936288089
EUR_JPYGerman Final Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_NZDFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.00948195468007490.57101239669421
+140 pips0.987122717015580.63959357277883
+150 pips0.989097378253130.61452479338843
+160 pips0.992107537165350.61410123966942
+170 pips0.995912594632410.67836734693878
+180 pips0.995290872490970.63419501133787
+190 pips0.987287150995610.62130165289256
-200 pips0.0126724637406560.59486394557823
EUR_AUDFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_CADFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0015160990075720.61445
-90 pips0.125123998691380.598725
-100 pips0.0560026013328120.60147392290249
EUR_CHFFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.00251539531552850.60096354166667
-60 pips0.0165838028344350.59246527777778
-70 pips0.0169915294685650.573328
+80 pips0.987471977460240.618632
+90 pips0.987027734059030.58697048611111
+140 pips0.993224709202130.57100189035917
EUR_USDFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_GBPFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
EUR_JPYFinal Manufacturing PMI55EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.993831203009870.5786125
+140 pips0.993465306041330.58996900826446
EUR_NZDSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.0718072151930390.62048888888889
-130 pips0.0787836509325460.57797777777778
EUR_AUDSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.958699156804470.59544444444444
+140 pips0.931595251020290.57497777777778
+170 pips0.577414343059030.58864444444444
-190 pips0.376206590686790.57993333333333
+200 pips0.950065385593490.61173333333333
EUR_CADSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
EUR_CHFSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
EUR_USDSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.917166989651470.57997777777778
+190 pips0.921730240550060.57395555555556
+200 pips0.919173075047880.58615555555556
EUR_GBPSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
EUR_JPYSpanish Unemployment Change32EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0250191569807010.58717777777778
-150 pips0.0269709983200630.57397777777778
-170 pips0.026900202965350.63113333333333
EUR_NZDItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.112348727622570.57572
+140 pips0.880274043757930.59763429752066
+150 pips0.913388278935760.63777892561983
+160 pips0.893056547480410.62683364839319
+180 pips0.892547138453150.57412190082645
+200 pips0.892194166693660.58891493055556
EUR_AUDItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_CADItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_USDItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.065199525869130.66248263888889
-50 pips0.0636760421676530.62716145833333
EUR_GBPItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_JPYItalian Industrial Production m/m31EUR
EUR_NZDPPI m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.954634817246890.58248966942149
+130 pips0.957144349051330.58390359168242
EUR_AUDPPI m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.933468507543990.59474173553719
EUR_CADPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_CHFPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_USDPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_GBPPPI m/m30EUR
EUR_JPYPPI m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.929741963938780.58077097505669
EUR_NZDItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.633314959988170.5732541322314
+50 pips0.61911751133820.59069214876033
-60 pips0.062888610707610.63037414965986
+70 pips0.601621099625940.64967975206612
+80 pips0.960560462889460.5977875
+170 pips0.973276323445920.60818576388889
EUR_AUDItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.961887760914820.57882231404959
EUR_CADItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.761427498494020.58223958333333
-90 pips0.039838345122370.59628099173554
-100 pips0.281703440629340.57707644628099
EUR_USDItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.926356787306980.5741375
EUR_GBPItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.945985115921160.60813799621928
+200 pips0.948164888182760.57459357277883
EUR_JPYItalian Retail Sales m/m30EUR
EUR_NZDRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.915585757023030.63894097222222
+60 pips0.928457127094170.57709829867675
+80 pips0.914016027222590.58545368620038
+90 pips0.920711094695980.57968809073724
+100 pips0.913442122434420.57967881944444
+110 pips0.901283537876260.57735243055556
+120 pips0.901202128544420.57242911153119
EUR_AUDRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.641819754162890.595624
+90 pips0.633246273920710.62912
EUR_CADRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.665656051235430.57399810964083
EUR_CHFRetail Sales m/m31EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.942964826813510.57577504725898
+120 pips0.96807487607120.64312854442344
EUR_USDRetail Sales m/m31EUR
EUR_GBPRetail Sales m/m31EUR
EUR_JPYRetail Sales m/m31EUR
EUR_NZDSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0579409820791690.60613333333333
-150 pips0.0506956032480640.6222
EUR_AUDSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.917207486589020.59275555555556
+150 pips0.924096281490470.57211111111111
+160 pips0.91792415896290.59948888888889
+180 pips0.911234169129640.57217777777778
+200 pips0.916250378224180.58253333333333
EUR_CADSpanish Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.942058381204380.59028888888889
+100 pips0.942058381204380.58095555555556
+110 pips0.928279735892370.62895555555556
+120 pips0.928279735892370.63795555555556
+140 pips0.949656699879260.59993333333333
EUR_USDSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.06504994043830.57335555555556
-60 pips0.064073182507220.59504444444444
EUR_GBPSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.956805377994940.63148888888889
+70 pips0.978855295923370.59668888888889
+80 pips0.959516972981580.64688888888889
+90 pips0.960113650225670.63044444444444
+100 pips0.969110131206750.633
+110 pips0.959567842685530.60768888888889
+120 pips0.959177042748260.58424444444444
+130 pips0.956397815684720.61686666666667
+140 pips0.975891612892850.58013333333333
+150 pips0.955723261832250.64211111111111
+160 pips0.950577363750090.57246666666667
+170 pips0.953989583444520.63653333333333
+190 pips0.956741256962810.63373333333333
+200 pips0.955391337559280.64502222222222
EUR_JPYSpanish Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.019806853361750.57595555555556
EUR_NZDItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0509579390796170.60454861111111
-70 pips0.050835457439030.635752
-80 pips0.0460049537158470.59122395833333
-90 pips0.0402868831457070.62260869565217
EUR_AUDItalian Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CADItalian Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.0630004482039870.57443289224953
-110 pips0.0621585703616370.59261284722222
-170 pips0.0518107859377490.58436507936508
EUR_USDItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0412475927185570.57171487603306
EUR_GBPItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.931234496295350.59661157024793
+110 pips0.933709560858920.58677685950413
+120 pips0.932296676583380.57795918367347
+130 pips0.941919144436270.62072022160665
EUR_JPYItalian Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.0468833271737660.5803125
-150 pips0.0818902845616540.59828798185941
EUR_NZDFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CADFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_USDFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.978776015860140.57573407202216
+150 pips0.978213302716890.58261904761905
+160 pips0.977259220294010.5720375
+170 pips0.971272521045860.58918282548476
+200 pips0.97863575430650.5735
EUR_GBPFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.119194671232480.59056640625
EUR_NZDGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.509685375960990.58103878116343
+130 pips0.507398147676270.62483024691358
EUR_AUDGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.492790863970090.57961419753086
EUR_CADGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.699734449289060.58613573407202
+110 pips0.704552552163430.57858024691358
+120 pips0.705861562973750.6134487534626
EUR_CHFGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_USDGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_GBPGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Final Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0189882977688950.59049382716049
EUR_NZDFinal Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.397012148213130.57796487603306
+140 pips0.587976630497880.60488662131519
+160 pips0.689335737163130.57959183673469
-170 pips0.391223326968390.59285714285714
+180 pips0.668194851195040.62309523809524
-190 pips0.00790079084591640.6722335600907
-200 pips0.145484225350790.66612603305785
EUR_AUDFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CADFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_CHFFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_USDFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_GBPFinal Services PMI8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.0323330074046470.57296398891967
EUR_JPYFinal Services PMI8EUR
EUR_NZDSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.125486697372310.57043083900227
EUR_AUDSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.933691982423630.59057823129252
+50 pips0.963423975616350.58908163265306
-140 pips0.058746516297980.59880886426593
EUR_CADSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.659185421532340.59651228733459
+80 pips0.524512082896320.5834126984127
EUR_CHFSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
EUR_USDSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-50 pips0.12881300100450.57852551984877
-170 pips0.0528874358122270.57907986111111
EUR_GBPSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
EUR_JPYSentix Investor Confidence8EUR
Currency Pair Description Hours Since Currency Barrier
USD_CADAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.798084087413030.58193761814745
GBP_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.192468150400090.61868055555556
-50 pips0.274133105449670.61388020833333
-80 pips0.392608181512360.62710775047259
-160 pips0.246823988869710.58202256944444
-170 pips0.24113385864980.57141776937618
USD_CHFAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.698941299179320.60609375
+60 pips0.927866482308090.59496
+70 pips0.784549122926620.58203993055556
+110 pips0.781544332595690.5852741020794
+200 pips0.806920878687110.57536862003781
EUR_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.214324170839040.579104
AUD_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.459563939799560.57690082644628
NZD_USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
USD_JPYAverage Hourly Earnings m/m95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.887000312927330.58627604166667
+170 pips0.790286200343320.575390625
USD_CADNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.904251392020080.58662326388889
GBP_USDNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.174039160861480.5775236294896
-190 pips0.120541209498740.57045368620038
USD_CHFNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.719064349780150.58016493055556
+110 pips0.760969815462120.59206049149338
+120 pips0.627188848332580.57670454545455
+140 pips0.522989230221680.60258034026465
-150 pips0.206921837584450.61634297520661
-170 pips0.375195787547610.57892561983471
-190 pips0.425692953758170.60128099173554
EUR_USDNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.419224686031070.58356770833333
AUD_USDNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
NZD_USDNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.0470860094029350.57819444444444
-70 pips0.0903987829976850.62881076388889
USD_JPYNon-Farm Employment Change95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.909713626871180.59029513888889
USD_CADUnemployment Rate95USD
GBP_USDUnemployment Rate95USD
USD_CHFUnemployment Rate95USD
EUR_USDUnemployment Rate95USD
AUD_USDUnemployment Rate95USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.482737991754720.58079545454545
NZD_USDUnemployment Rate95USD
USD_JPYUnemployment Rate95USD
USD_CADPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
GBP_USDPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
USD_CHFPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
EUR_USDPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.476469655264670.58886621315193
AUD_USDPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
NZD_USDPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
USD_JPYPrelim UoM Consumer Sentiment94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.158718282747130.587625
USD_CADFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.517539376117420.58689035916824
GBP_USDFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.775861824727540.5870867768595
+140 pips0.727750095707980.62851606805293
+150 pips0.890617891413310.59460743801653
+160 pips0.870945682174570.6290022675737
+170 pips0.897990714314850.63790289256198
+180 pips0.935851882231360.59393424036281
+200 pips0.921408486148990.57271266540643
USD_CHFFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.766504221113070.57595238095238
EUR_USDFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.531005636188710.57385487528345
AUD_USDFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.450996199395490.57369565217391
+160 pips0.679895677129430.57634548611111
+170 pips0.756708148756030.591048
+180 pips0.756708148756030.579496
+190 pips0.710475656273540.58330729166667
+200 pips0.786772121607870.6021875
NZD_USDFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.690790002688090.5890625
+60 pips0.50674423467950.57283553875236
USD_JPYFinal Wholesale Inventories m/m94USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.340534846076040.5760775047259
-100 pips0.256103016404090.58128472222222
-130 pips0.36085572586340.57131379962193
-140 pips0.361840868473680.57404513888889
+160 pips0.915266560004640.57432892249527
+170 pips0.869987656848580.58312854442344
+180 pips0.898685617265670.57660680529301
+190 pips0.873255637430960.60598298676749
USD_CADConsumer Credit m/m89USD
GBP_USDConsumer Credit m/m89USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.959624112152050.5880055401662
USD_CHFConsumer Credit m/m89USD
EUR_USDConsumer Credit m/m89USD
AUD_USDConsumer Credit m/m89USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.965819602325330.57731770833333
+130 pips0.860800207082650.61560491493384
+140 pips0.908735031100750.59664256198347
+150 pips0.952197697027870.57357438016529
NZD_USDConsumer Credit m/m89USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.882906466472930.60910590277778
USD_JPYConsumer Credit m/m89USD
USD_CADNFIB Small Business Index50USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.922748725755690.57646666666667
+90 pips0.964774627269390.6604
+100 pips0.930713660009850.60035555555556
+110 pips0.909595478035090.57673333333333
GBP_USDNFIB Small Business Index50USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0819722001803590.65673333333333
-50 pips0.197831805190970.61842222222222
-60 pips0.310431053327980.61931111111111
-80 pips0.0324299017589050.61666015625
-90 pips0.0675072359484730.6008984375
USD_CHFNFIB Small Business Index50USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.5563681771730.575
EUR_USDNFIB Small Business Index50USD
AUD_USDNFIB Small Business Index50USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.0338282470494890.583203125
-120 pips0.0196685144913270.62150390625
-130 pips0.03358157657380.60271484375
NZD_USDNFIB Small Business Index50USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.293932268845710.59226643598616
-120 pips0.0697088248138680.65130859375
-140 pips0.0190237828881860.6599609375
-150 pips0.03355654141960.69428888888889
-160 pips0.03399119305910.64926666666667
-170 pips0.149707031210260.59140625
-180 pips0.189841947812650.58533203125
USD_JPYNFIB Small Business Index50USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.869484014924080.59344444444444
+110 pips0.686268334853040.570859375
-130 pips0.471024902649630.57247404844291
+140 pips0.698256987168250.584765625
-190 pips0.32779933724340.592265625
-200 pips0.32779933724340.57228515625
USD_CADRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
GBP_USDRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
USD_CHFRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
EUR_USDRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
AUD_USDRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
NZD_USDRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
USD_JPYRevised Nonfarm Productivity q/q48USD
USD_CADRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
GBP_USDRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
USD_CHFRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
EUR_USDRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
AUD_USDRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
NZD_USDRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
USD_JPYRevised Unit Labor Costs q/q48USD
USD_CADCPI m/m24USD
GBP_USDCPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.870399658997190.59769965277778
USD_CHFCPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.442521740705950.58269965277778
EUR_USDCPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.841011866071710.58007561436673
+60 pips0.707032422345530.57444234404537
AUD_USDCPI m/m24USD
NZD_USDCPI m/m24USD
USD_JPYCPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.182923984659250.61611111111111
-110 pips0.186121191046040.60189035916824
USD_CADCore CPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.735304392288890.57731404958678
GBP_USDCore CPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+130 pips0.626928826604220.59270833333333
+140 pips0.713185869934040.59276041666667
+160 pips0.797213870052040.60146502835539
+170 pips0.770342935723710.59912098298677
+190 pips0.537804148680160.58890359168242
+200 pips0.694120256108940.62488715277778
USD_CHFCore CPI m/m24USD
EUR_USDCore CPI m/m24USD
AUD_USDCore CPI m/m24USD
NZD_USDCore CPI m/m24USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.617495772365030.6076843100189
USD_JPYCore CPI m/m24USD
USD_CADCrude Oil Inventories22USD
GBP_USDCrude Oil Inventories22USD
USD_CHFCrude Oil Inventories22USD
EUR_USDCrude Oil Inventories22USD
AUD_USDCrude Oil Inventories22USD
NZD_USDCrude Oil Inventories22USD
USD_JPYCrude Oil Inventories22USD
USD_CADFederal Funds Rate19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.198580783747320.5872
-50 pips0.182263598098130.62204444444444
-60 pips0.11053590906740.69211111111111
-70 pips0.108111422594560.68091111111111
-80 pips0.140490046418440.67773333333333
-90 pips0.158008437687990.66397777777778
-100 pips0.143853681957540.58988888888889
-110 pips0.133169484671440.58082222222222
-120 pips0.173931623728280.57715555555556
-150 pips0.155110723968710.58008888888889
GBP_USDFederal Funds Rate19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.698524844585360.60651111111111
+70 pips0.729836020948110.59468888888889
+80 pips0.753213258283860.5954
+100 pips0.680473195898820.58955555555556
+170 pips0.865849535022640.57837777777778
+190 pips0.868389540003920.572
USD_CHFFederal Funds Rate19USD
EUR_USDFederal Funds Rate19USD
AUD_USDFederal Funds Rate19USD
NZD_USDFederal Funds Rate19USD
USD_JPYFederal Funds Rate19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.648496625873310.5842578125
USD_CADFederal Budget Balance19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.425256561158750.63074380165289
-120 pips0.428520947558190.61312925170068
-140 pips0.40332115055940.57185941043084
-160 pips0.151304489471310.6281375
-180 pips0.417358945587550.57430839002268
GBP_USDFederal Budget Balance19USD
USD_CHFFederal Budget Balance19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.489100133860990.60162570888469
EUR_USDFederal Budget Balance19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.801329790776710.57444234404537
AUD_USDFederal Budget Balance19USD
NZD_USDFederal Budget Balance19USD
USD_JPYFederal Budget Balance19USD
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.613983125279790.57980034722222
AUD_CADHPI q/q61AUD
AUD_CHFHPI q/q61AUD
EUR_AUDHPI q/q61AUD
AUD_JPYHPI q/q61AUD
AUD_NZDHPI q/q61AUD
AUD_USDHPI q/q61AUD
GBP_AUDHPI q/q61AUD
CHF_JPYUnemployment Rate79CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.681195792438840.60370510396975
+50 pips0.686945386131060.61537326388889
+70 pips0.691726312208720.59547743055556
+80 pips0.852018315642550.656784
+90 pips0.855263965107360.57697048611111
+100 pips0.850137648091370.60874131944444
+110 pips0.84063290932370.6309168241966
+140 pips0.893802522118110.59460302457467
+150 pips0.868451378671650.62264650283554
+160 pips0.841511912280230.61724952741021
AUD_CHFUnemployment Rate79CHF
USD_CHFUnemployment Rate79CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.275201144225160.58965973534972
-110 pips0.275926180588860.6015595463138
-130 pips0.286113015986240.57786157024793
-170 pips0.321136436577980.59155991735537
EUR_CHFUnemployment Rate79CHF
NZD_CHFUnemployment Rate79CHF
CAD_CHFUnemployment Rate79CHF
GBP_CHFUnemployment Rate79CHF
CHF_JPYPPI m/m6CHF
AUD_CHFPPI m/m6CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.766683980230890.57106404958678
USD_CHFPPI m/m6CHF
EUR_CHFPPI m/m6CHF
NZD_CHFPPI m/m6CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.906124226586680.5932541322314
+80 pips0.939424388577440.61459357277883
+90 pips0.913449355461630.59501133786848
+100 pips0.924900445620550.58571280991736
+110 pips0.740284780522440.63671201814059
-120 pips0.4380958102740.59379818594104
-130 pips0.485783985919230.572275
CAD_CHFPPI m/m6CHF
GBP_CHFPPI m/m6CHF
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.356606679228770.61086011342155
-70 pips0.36158992862180.57402646502836
CHF_JPYSNB Policy Rate5CHF
AUD_CHFSNB Policy Rate5CHF
USD_CHFSNB Policy Rate5CHF
EUR_CHFSNB Policy Rate5CHF
NZD_CHFSNB Policy Rate5CHF
CAD_CHFSNB Policy Rate5CHF
GBP_CHFSNB Policy Rate5CHF
CHF_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
GBP_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
AUD_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-160 pips0.0518620652584750.570656
-170 pips0.0584600413136230.58453125
-180 pips0.0819985821489980.63525173611111
-190 pips0.0689260474825670.57513232514178
EUR_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
NZD_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.242013574131130.59462585034014
-50 pips0.251437338385840.61349206349206
-110 pips0.121458262419280.58716446124764
-190 pips0.347625862654730.59872933884298
-200 pips0.0952898947581770.58453512396694
CAD_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
USD_JPYLeading Indicators105JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.135566218021250.61979206049149
-90 pips0.152004126065360.61925347222222
-100 pips0.201199013813150.6320415879017
-110 pips0.194691279841410.58766540642722
-120 pips0.149695961722720.59426215277778
-130 pips0.148764355513010.629408
-180 pips0.191766479790940.57912326388889
CHF_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
GBP_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
AUD_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
EUR_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
NZD_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
CAD_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
USD_JPYBank Lending y/y86JPY
CHF_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
GBP_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
AUD_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.31816164628930.57423553719008
EUR_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.453211812180260.63927221172023
-50 pips0.33588406463360.5819943289225
+110 pips0.546672411297560.57672520661157
NZD_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.232815356489040.60368923611111
-70 pips0.251474368456070.60505671077505
CAD_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
USD_JPYCurrent Account86JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+190 pips0.822282903968540.57934895833333
+200 pips0.730887250276420.57891493055556
CHF_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
GBP_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
AUD_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
EUR_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
NZD_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
CAD_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
USD_JPYFinal GDP Price Index y/y86JPY
CHF_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
GBP_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
AUD_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
EUR_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
NZD_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
CAD_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
USD_JPYFinal GDP q/q86JPY
CHF_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.943292283490850.578475
+130 pips0.964328334373350.60792534722222
+150 pips0.833259206048550.59148760330579
+160 pips0.85012321244130.59469008264463
+170 pips0.965429118904720.5707561436673
+180 pips0.703229898495260.57703213610586
GBP_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.876721850226790.57642561983471
+90 pips0.951588242782880.6084125
AUD_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.761348323138480.62235457063712
-50 pips0.393260729537910.61134920634921
+60 pips0.762429872303420.58114512471655
+160 pips0.811739384599970.57315104166667
+190 pips0.847023355877780.57238185255198
EUR_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.879227021959880.58680529300567
+80 pips0.625482787450470.60711720226843
+90 pips0.586937565132350.58979206049149
+100 pips0.600036594209120.65068998109641
+110 pips0.60184547483480.64682851239669
+120 pips0.67339569417610.60382231404959
-130 pips0.200827567182460.7010775047259
-140 pips0.322943192280060.67118055555556
+150 pips0.598248236474170.66499131944444
+160 pips0.822372110489110.58527777777778
+190 pips0.901100554549450.57997395833333
NZD_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.637429130901210.57905991735537
CAD_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.766162763092810.57675803402646
+90 pips0.743766969667960.59457465277778
+100 pips0.63657269223240.57161458333333
+110 pips0.731738384805580.58738185255198
-120 pips0.491973865974810.57769376181474
USD_JPYEconomy Watchers Sentiment81JPY
CHF_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
GBP_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
AUD_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
EUR_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0899038317670360.60421550094518
-100 pips0.288972330844450.59662326388889
-170 pips0.0240874740899320.57617202268431
-190 pips0.0236271657318080.57652777777778
NZD_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
CAD_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
USD_JPYM2 Money Stock y/y62JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.615924357227820.58122873345936
CHF_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
GBP_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
AUD_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
EUR_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
NZD_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
CAD_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
USD_JPYBSI Manufacturing Index38JPY
CHF_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.571779381757680.58879962192817
GBP_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
AUD_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.919458238238450.59578993055556
EUR_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-130 pips0.375004751051380.58103024574669
NZD_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
CAD_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
USD_JPYPPI y/y38JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.201182346323160.594921875
CHF_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.0966449459531120.57756076388889
-100 pips0.0972034624046790.58559895833333
-140 pips0.0799242827600660.57455729166667
GBP_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.496749433751390.61888020833333
+160 pips0.582386287597380.63664930555556
+170 pips0.53129684697920.60793402777778
AUD_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
EUR_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.294939441432370.59567708333333
-130 pips0.380031886128570.57264756944444
-140 pips0.454487249023370.59339409722222
-160 pips0.230506216155480.59125708884688
-170 pips0.365710682183610.59367674858223
NZD_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.681218971369610.62370659722222
+90 pips0.759919816123030.61939508506616
+100 pips0.863131408916860.5915625
+110 pips0.862081724863040.61074652777778
+190 pips0.671845104352310.57129340277778
CAD_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
USD_JPYCore Machinery Orders m/m15JPY
GBP_JPYHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.831564835489720.59394139886578
+110 pips0.510823762367480.58303402646503
GBP_NZDHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
GBP_USDHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
EUR_GBPHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+100 pips0.636865457857830.5796875
GBP_AUDHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
GBP_CADHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
GBP_CHFHalifax HPI m/m102GBP
GBP_JPYGDP m/m53GBP
GBP_NZDGDP m/m53GBP
GBP_USDGDP m/m53GBP
EUR_GBPGDP m/m53GBP
GBP_AUDGDP m/m53GBP
GBP_CADGDP m/m53GBP
GBP_CHFGDP m/m53GBP
GBP_JPYManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.431540152434140.63377126654064
-50 pips0.165468537178210.61698784722222
-60 pips0.101064214945960.633515625
-70 pips0.175455697124240.590078125
-80 pips0.121828918141290.60638020833333
GBP_NZDManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
GBP_USDManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
EUR_GBPManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
GBP_AUDManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
GBP_CADManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
GBP_CHFManufacturing Production m/m53GBP
GBP_JPYConstruction Output m/m53GBP
GBP_NZDConstruction Output m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.856679912014560.6418
+50 pips0.906386352667990.59737777777778
+60 pips0.981679618096050.61366666666667
+70 pips0.975662624537860.65191111111111
+110 pips0.813296417912770.62286666666667
+150 pips0.939647358928880.58731111111111
+160 pips0.963359686513110.58671111111111
+170 pips0.963359686513110.60106666666667
+180 pips0.963359686513110.58895555555556
+190 pips0.963359686513110.60235555555556
+200 pips0.954905749626470.63657777777778
GBP_USDConstruction Output m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.436034794672030.60848888888889
-110 pips0.0422891370056210.59333333333333
+160 pips0.814848201935540.62984444444444
-180 pips0.499426685231010.60297777777778
EUR_GBPConstruction Output m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.164894741058660.60762222222222
GBP_AUDConstruction Output m/m53GBP
GBP_CADConstruction Output m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.982423472300880.5742
+160 pips0.992057472779040.5708
GBP_CHFConstruction Output m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.242061745837420.57797777777778
+100 pips0.861930500611450.62695555555556
+110 pips0.861930500611450.58586666666667
+120 pips0.861930500611450.59471111111111
+160 pips0.95129997158250.58606666666667
+170 pips0.946961040545540.58968888888889
+180 pips0.946961040545540.59797777777778
+190 pips0.887841578519340.62417777777778
+200 pips0.853617221406950.59164444444444
GBP_JPYGoods Trade Balance53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.924578849117070.57884297520661
GBP_NZDGoods Trade Balance53GBP
GBP_USDGoods Trade Balance53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-120 pips0.236024846684990.6119625
-140 pips0.141978395543360.60660664819945
-150 pips0.397724020565190.60238227146814
-160 pips0.140997064440590.6015625
-170 pips0.302993096502360.63062326869806
-180 pips0.437284167947480.61725761772853
+190 pips0.580108373805840.6235595567867
+200 pips0.564174480137710.67699445983379
EUR_GBPGoods Trade Balance53GBP
GBP_AUDGoods Trade Balance53GBP
GBP_CADGoods Trade Balance53GBP
GBP_CHFGoods Trade Balance53GBP
GBP_JPYIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
GBP_NZDIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
GBP_USDIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.148162776065580.57751736111111
EUR_GBPIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
GBP_AUDIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.0470131827393630.58309895833333
GBP_CADIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
GBP_CHFIndex of Services 3m/3m53GBP
GBP_JPYIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.259130076155410.61379962192817
-50 pips0.182087316144580.61591145833333
-60 pips0.257289324574130.64042534722222
-130 pips0.321828531428240.5895652173913
-150 pips0.408224575831220.58130434782609
-160 pips0.390789398684790.594453125
GBP_NZDIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.327455135421530.5777479338843
-90 pips0.362514611982190.57807183364839
GBP_USDIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.75013261294320.58934895833333
EUR_GBPIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
GBP_AUDIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
GBP_CADIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.630091320243720.58384548611111
GBP_CHFIndustrial Production m/m53GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.241977554122280.5830056710775
-120 pips0.057936339989950.58724952741021
-130 pips0.0430766783869030.59031190926276
-140 pips0.0711752716622210.58640495867769
GBP_JPYRICS House Price Balance15GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.632098071018990.61571428571429
-80 pips0.330803787572380.6331
+90 pips0.669407363426890.63395691609977
+100 pips0.664198061943080.61423553719008
GBP_NZDRICS House Price Balance15GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.650360500283130.57584201388889
GBP_USDRICS House Price Balance15GBP
EUR_GBPRICS House Price Balance15GBP
GBP_AUDRICS House Price Balance15GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.920732479969540.59544423440454
+120 pips0.911599121535810.59651927437642
GBP_CADRICS House Price Balance15GBP
GBP_CHFRICS House Price Balance15GBP
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.875729806645970.57332644628099
+170 pips0.899190978627010.60031190926276
+180 pips0.836364309594120.58046487603306
+190 pips0.931007824242650.58217975206612
+200 pips0.848323321060310.59936983471074
EUR_NZDGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.127500198924290.58810964083176
-50 pips0.437328811532340.59200520833333
EUR_AUDGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.250317321010720.61666351606805
+80 pips0.683030029546310.57051215277778
EUR_CADGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.791492719318060.60576446280992
EUR_CHFGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.861762129592580.61701446280992
EUR_USDGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
EUR_GBPGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Industrial Production m/m104EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.842327050332070.57131379962193
+80 pips0.832034253545720.57920604914934
+90 pips0.763436108625380.59946124763705
+100 pips0.891497132891950.59559895833333
-130 pips0.233947687054360.59590737240076
EUR_NZDFrench Trade Balance103EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Trade Balance103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.294602541813550.59040798611111
-100 pips0.176758742347480.61494791666667
-120 pips0.207148525595140.57119834710744
-150 pips0.194798258181110.62034013605442
EUR_CADFrench Trade Balance103EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Trade Balance103EUR
EUR_USDFrench Trade Balance103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+170 pips0.814645614116330.57827256944444
EUR_GBPFrench Trade Balance103EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Trade Balance103EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.234452721741240.60363894139887
-70 pips0.226413132797070.57669187145558
-80 pips0.0932994283561670.61666351606805
-90 pips0.272256239579120.62743856332703
-100 pips0.416565193835030.616953125
-110 pips0.455936525618980.66275173611111
-120 pips0.434964908674330.626864
+130 pips0.637903235925990.610016
-140 pips0.278837044241810.59587673611111
EUR_NZDItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
EUR_AUDItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
EUR_CADItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+140 pips0.693540664963510.58044421487603
EUR_CHFItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
EUR_USDItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
EUR_JPYItalian Retail Sales m/m102EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.937768046869530.57518229166667
EUR_NZDGerman Trade Balance80EUR
EUR_AUDGerman Trade Balance80EUR
EUR_CADGerman Trade Balance80EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Trade Balance80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.735654853189980.59076388888889
+50 pips0.731834688044270.61071833648393
+60 pips0.698277990159820.58376033057851
+140 pips0.891347004089060.57038752362949
+150 pips0.898861300741270.60027892561983
EUR_USDGerman Trade Balance80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.543885216304730.61430785123967
+60 pips0.500533883490930.57505165289256
-80 pips0.284393405817890.65298185941043
-90 pips0.4435821001110.595525
+100 pips0.632300329062210.6352875
+110 pips0.622729175182390.62112244897959
+120 pips0.555986273247750.58963137996219
+130 pips0.74580921895880.63543402777778
+140 pips0.522202536279770.61120982986767
+150 pips0.669654060336870.61687145557656
-160 pips0.452409968950170.60223958333333
+170 pips0.733943730751780.59425330812854
+180 pips0.525636658312690.59263888888889
+190 pips0.856286298082370.581192
+200 pips0.745548133333040.58881076388889
EUR_GBPGerman Trade Balance80EUR
EUR_JPYGerman Trade Balance80EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-110 pips0.447807399825890.58374291115312
+180 pips0.528180417655930.574424
EUR_NZDSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-90 pips0.108417600987120.59422743055556
EUR_AUDSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
EUR_CADSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.613482001241420.585632
+50 pips0.522882608998860.572536
+200 pips0.824226981861710.5913988657845
EUR_CHFSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
EUR_USDSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+40 pips0.868030595986120.58602430555556
EUR_GBPSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.484962615473740.57315689981096
EUR_JPYSentix Investor Confidence78EUR
EUR_NZDFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_AUDFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_CADFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_USDFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Final Private Payrolls q/q57EUR
EUR_NZDFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+120 pips0.852084820912560.57689981096408
+160 pips0.755912819986950.5731190926276
+180 pips0.910008096796750.5834404536862
EUR_AUDFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.953489494628030.60244791666667
-190 pips0.219007284155290.58374131944444
EUR_CADFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.467202316105640.59729166666667
EUR_CHFFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+80 pips0.742166047267660.59678819444444
+90 pips0.796761794308760.5989224952741
EUR_USDFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Industrial Production m/m56EUR
EUR_NZDItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
EUR_AUDItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-70 pips0.0860474998360890.57460743801653
-80 pips0.113901790129760.60098140495868
-90 pips0.170459692460010.65355371900826
-100 pips0.205869557066770.6318253968254
-110 pips0.468765728968790.63551039697543
+170 pips0.934049236884080.59215277777778
+180 pips0.944732509406750.58471354166667
+190 pips0.954408372887220.581816
+200 pips0.936648425277860.58855034722222
EUR_CADItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-140 pips0.344681555313420.57675736961451
EUR_CHFItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-60 pips0.414288185012640.58132231404959
+140 pips0.84311059973090.57363715277778
EUR_USDItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.764988038873340.58536458333333
+120 pips0.847204086509480.57424479166667
+130 pips0.912875696600470.5847258979206
+140 pips0.844629381172890.57805293005671
-150 pips0.297589092724030.57254132231405
-160 pips0.306115701817850.66143595041322
+170 pips0.601643709691260.61326446280992
+180 pips0.591947396775970.60562381852552
+190 pips0.549915221544230.57872933884298
EUR_JPYItalian Industrial Production m/m54EUR
EUR_NZDGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.898697491887230.57830812854442
EUR_AUDGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_CADGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_CHFGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_USDGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_GBPGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+160 pips0.698886005366270.594725
EUR_JPYGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_NZDZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_AUDZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_CADZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_CHFZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_USDZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
EUR_GBPZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.975391540850170.59119113573407
EUR_JPYZEW Economic Sentiment53EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+150 pips0.50026459142540.59079861111111
EUR_NZDGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-40 pips0.355155831209240.59980151228733
-80 pips0.452776781984020.58112847222222
+90 pips0.510338856368220.57040798611111
-140 pips0.291017021420010.57972107438017
EUR_AUDGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
EUR_CADGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
EUR_CHFGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
EUR_USDGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
EUR_GBPGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-100 pips0.108447925614850.575546875
+130 pips0.59971336784330.58948784722222
-150 pips0.125671039949030.60320415879017
-160 pips0.118910300821910.58318181818182
-180 pips0.11259126304970.58637996219282
-190 pips0.113835296808510.60924479166667
EUR_JPYGerman Final CPI m/m9EUR
EUR_NZDFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.695812894849460.59772211720227
+100 pips0.803950631144080.60427685950413
+110 pips0.777942771699030.57703512396694
+120 pips0.82958206641050.60447069943289
+130 pips0.793283409524410.60111570247934
+140 pips0.706028551161480.66232438016529
+150 pips0.697822033313430.60211776859504
+160 pips0.761573739761960.60864669421488
+170 pips0.786049556948780.58020661157025
+200 pips0.579911919574340.59657596371882
EUR_AUDFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-170 pips0.440929604250970.62896975425331
EUR_CADFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
EUR_CHFFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.624689784271910.58853298611111
+130 pips0.696890787424040.59503472222222
EUR_USDFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
EUR_GBPFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
EUR_JPYFrench Final CPI m/m8EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.862587729283880.57733459357278
+120 pips0.647253456618930.57290798611111
EUR_NZDItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_AUDItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_CADItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_CHFItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_USDItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_GBPItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_JPYItalian Quarterly Unemployment Rate7EUR
EUR_NZDIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
EUR_AUDIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
EUR_CADIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
EUR_CHFIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
EUR_USDIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
Barrier Probability AUC
-150 pips0.446909503242030.62184895833333
EUR_GBPIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
EUR_JPYIndustrial Production m/m6EUR
AUD_CADEmployment Change98CAD
USD_CADEmployment Change98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.802858035983460.5722520661157
+190 pips0.955997329506190.57897959183673
EUR_CADEmployment Change98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+180 pips0.725735398204560.60521694214876
+190 pips0.552206053296750.57042355371901
NZD_CADEmployment Change98CAD
CAD_CHFEmployment Change98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.632030455817940.57023148148148
-90 pips0.24498834403170.58838842975207
-100 pips0.335069217200920.58023629489603
-170 pips0.292518793302990.5867625
-190 pips0.457627753014250.58132653061224
+200 pips0.673988310645310.61761904761905
GBP_CADEmployment Change98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+70 pips0.951856751509710.60202216066482
+180 pips0.780746523475970.58024930747922
CAD_JPYEmployment Change98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.884799433924050.62896701388889
+110 pips0.808094544741410.57103024574669
-180 pips0.428151837311590.57026465028355
+190 pips0.599238379871580.57567708333333
AUD_CADUnemployment Rate98CAD
USD_CADUnemployment Rate98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+110 pips0.632159177386090.58690104166667
+140 pips0.78877703007550.58735537190083
+160 pips0.756180883161910.59596371882086
-190 pips0.426203438199140.57783446712018
EUR_CADUnemployment Rate98CAD
NZD_CADUnemployment Rate98CAD
CAD_CHFUnemployment Rate98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-180 pips0.29767805674170.583825
GBP_CADUnemployment Rate98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.850322591165530.57656509695291
+70 pips0.887784888266640.61036011080332
+90 pips0.937143902650620.57968144044321
+100 pips0.890806989488060.57797783933518
CAD_JPYUnemployment Rate98CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
-80 pips0.148287719264040.57830812854442
AUD_CADHousing Starts75CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+50 pips0.917824227213160.58847826086957
USD_CADHousing Starts75CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+200 pips0.585520061927680.62818181818182
EUR_CADHousing Starts75CAD
NZD_CADHousing Starts75CAD
CAD_CHFHousing Starts75CAD
GBP_CADHousing Starts75CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+90 pips0.761493214083450.57329931972789
CAD_JPYHousing Starts75CAD
Barrier Probability AUC
+60 pips0.540595213112730.59160590277778
-110 pips0.273195094171290.5767
-120 pips0.375624177364580.58162049861496
-130 pips0.392288578350430.57267313019391
+160 pips0.635107150103510.57293628808864
AUD_CADBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
USD_CADBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
EUR_CADBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
NZD_CADBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
CAD_CHFBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
GBP_CADBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
CAD_JPYBuilding Permits m/m74CAD
AUD_CADCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
USD_CADCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
EUR_CADCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
NZD_CADCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
CAD_CHFCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
GBP_CADCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
CAD_JPYCapacity Utilization Rate27CAD
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Currency Pair Average Probability Average Barrier Weekly Technical Heatmap Weekly News Heatmap Direction
AUD_CAD0.8829105 pips
Buy
GBP_NZD0.8825108 pips
mismatch
GBP_CAD0.790193 pips
mismatch
GBP_AUD0.747171 pips
Sell
AUD_CHF0.680889 pips
mismatch
CHF_JPY0.676557 pips
Buy
EUR_CHF0.658364 pips
Buy
EUR_USD0.62759 pips
Buy
NZD_CHF0.624647 pips
Buy
CHF0.5975NoneNone
None
EUR_AUD0.592652 pips
mismatch
CAD_JPY0.591612 pips
mismatch
GBP_CHF0.583656 pips
Sell
AUD_USD0.578751 pips
Buy
GBP0.5756NoneNone
None
EUR_GBP0.574313 pips
Buy
EUR0.5561NoneNone
None
EUR_NZD0.537824 pips
mismatch
GBP_JPY0.516625 pips
Buy
NZD_JPY0.503814 pips
mismatch
EUR_CAD0.4995-1 pips
mismatch
JPY0.4894NoneNone
None
AUD_JPY0.4849-32 pips
mismatch
GBP_USD0.4568-9 pips
Sell
USD_CAD0.4544-7 pips
mismatch
USD0.4484NoneNone
None
AUD0.4337NoneNone
None
CAD_CHF0.4078-30 pips
Buy
NZD_USD0.3697-59 pips
mismatch
USD_CHF0.3335-66 pips
mismatch
CAD0.3282NoneNone
None
USD_JPY0.3247-52 pips
mismatch
EUR_JPY0.3129-79 pips
mismatch
AUD_NZD0.2922-96 pips
mismatch
NZD_CAD0.2883-75 pips
mismatch
Last Update: 3098 hrs
Currency Pair Average Probability Average Barrier Weekly Technical Heatmap Weekly News Heatmap Direction
AUD_CAD0.8829105 pips
mismatch
GBP_NZD0.8825108 pips
mismatch
GBP_CAD0.790193 pips
Sell
GBP_AUD0.747171 pips
Buy
AUD_CHF0.680889 pips
mismatch
CHF_JPY0.676557 pips
mismatch
EUR_CHF0.658364 pips
Buy
EUR_USD0.62759 pips
Buy
NZD_CHF0.624647 pips
mismatch
CHF0.5975None
None
EUR_AUD0.592652 pips
mismatch
CAD_JPY0.591612 pips
Buy
GBP_CHF0.583656 pips
Sell
AUD_USD0.578751 pips
mismatch
GBP0.5756None
None
EUR_GBP0.574313 pips
mismatch
EUR0.5561None
None
EUR_NZD0.537824 pips
mismatch
GBP_JPY0.516625 pips
Buy
NZD_JPY0.503814 pips
mismatch
EUR_CAD0.4995-1 pips
mismatch
JPY0.4894None
None
AUD_JPY0.4849-32 pips
mismatch
GBP_USD0.4568-9 pips
Sell
USD_CAD0.4544-7 pips
mismatch
USD0.4484None
None
AUD0.4337None
None
CAD_CHF0.4078-30 pips
Buy
NZD_USD0.3697-59 pips
mismatch
USD_CHF0.3335-66 pips
mismatch
CAD0.3282None
None
USD_JPY0.3247-52 pips
mismatch
EUR_JPY0.3129-79 pips
mismatch
AUD_NZD0.2922-96 pips
mismatch
NZD_CAD0.2883-75 pips
mismatch
Last Update: 3098 hrs

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Optimize and test your strategy thoroughly using our eleven years plus of historical signals available to your through our API. Understand the true historical performance of your strategy before investing real money. Gain access to eleven years of historical economic news to quantitatively understand how it impacts forex markets.
Trading strategies based only on technical analysis suffer from poor live trading performance as they do not effectively take into account current economic conditions. Design more intelligent trading strategies that consider current market news and trend with macro economic trends.
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Remove the uncertainty when trading live by thoroughly understanding the true historical performance of your trading strategy. Signals based on historic news releases are not easy to obtain with other trading platforms. We make it easy to backtest your strategy using our library of predictive signals based on news releases.
By basing your strategy on economic news rather than pure technical analysis, you have advantage of repeatable trade setups that are driven by market news rather than an arbitrary candlestick pattern. Strategies that incorporate current economic news into their trading plan benefit from a higher degree of predictability in market movement by following macro economic trends, leading to sustained long term profits. Market reaction to different kinds of economic news have a much more predictable outcome.
All of our predictive signals come with associated probabilities of market movement along with historical accuracy of the model that produced the prediction. This allows you to make smart trading decisions based on real world events that have a known association with a given market movement by reading current market macro economic data.